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Topic “Non-UK Telecoms”

Format: 2014-12
Format: 2014-12
Sector(s) Datesort icon

European mobile in Q3 2014: A rare improvement

The European mobile market had a rare quarter of solid improvement in Q3, with reported service revenue growth improving by over 2ppts to -4.7%, helped by a 1ppt improvement in regulated MTR cuts (which have now dropped to near zero) and a 1ppt improvement in underlying growth

The improvement appears largely driven by improved pricing trends, with the improvement in Italy particularly strong. However we feel that pricing is still in general in a fragile equilibrium, with the potential longer term structural improvements - consolidation and network focus - yet to be made

Mobile, Non-UK Telecoms, Telecoms December 2014 Access this report

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Canal+ at 30: time for a strategic review

In 2014 Canal+’s core premium French pay-TV business has continued to lose subscribers and swallowed a VAT increase. But this was offset by growth in FTA ad sales, in ARPU, in overseas subscriptions and by acquisitions. EBITDA has continued the decline which commenced in 2013

Eleven years ago Canal+ in France and Sky in Britain had the same household penetration, but since then a gap has opened up and now Canal+ lags behind at 21% compared to Sky’s 34%. The French platform suffers from its regulated focus on films and its neglect of hardware

Media, Non-UK Telecoms, Telecoms December 2014 Access this report

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European mobile in Q2 2014: Underlying weakens again

European mobile service revenue growth improved by 0.5ppts to -7.2% in Q2 2014, but all of this and more was driven by a reduced regulatory impact; underlying growth has been stuck at around 6% for the last four quarters, with progress in some areas consistently being countered by further pricing pressure

Industry consolidation has progressed to some extent, but would have had little impact in the quarter. Further in-country mobile/mobile mergers are more than likely but uncertainty driven by the changing European Commission may be delaying decisions to move forward

Mobile, Non-UK Telecoms, Telecoms September 2014 Access this report

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European mobile in Q1 2014: Underlying remains weak, but consolidation progresses

European mobile service revenue growth improved to -7.6% in Q1 2014 from -9.0% in the previous quarter, but most of the improvement came from a drop in the regulated MTR cut impact, with underlying growth only improving 0.2ppts

This is in spite of continued improvements in GDP growth and the highest level of consumer confidence in six years, confirming that the often-blamed economic conditions actually have been having little impact on the market, with competitive intensity the real cause

Mobile, Non-UK Telecoms, Telecoms July 2014 Access this report

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European mobile in Q4 2013: Focused on consolidation

European mobile service revenue growth again disappointed in Q4, dropping slightly from -8.9% to -9.1%, with underlying revenue growth dropping a little further from -6.0% to -6.3%, again reaching a record low

Mobile, Non-UK Telecoms, Telecoms March 2014 Access this report

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Media & Telecoms: 2014 and Beyond, part 1

Enders Analysis co-hosted its annual conference, in conjunction with BNP Paribas and Deloitte, in London on 4 March 2014. The event featured talks by 13 of the most influential figures in media and telecoms, and was chaired by Sir Peter Bazalgette. This report provides edited transcripts of the talks given by six of those speakers: Sir Martin Sorrell, WPP; Gavin Patterson, BT; Andrew Griffith, BSkyB; Thomas Rabe, Bertelsmann; David Dyson, Three UK; David Abraham, Channel 4

Media, Mobile, TV, Fixed line, Press, Internet, Non-UK Telecoms, Music and Radio, Non-UK Media, Technology, Telecoms March 2014 Access this report

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2013 round up and topics for next year

2013 has seen yet another year of strong growth in consumer adoption of mobile devices and screens adding to the challenges facing traditional media. Press and radio have long been affected, but television is now starting to feel the heat BT and Sky’s contest for premium pay-TV sports rights has intensified. August saw the launch of BT Sport, while BT’s acquisition of the European football rights in November was a clear statement of intent, spending half of Channel 4’s total programming budget on approx. 200 hours of content

Media, Mobile, TV, Fixed line, Press, Internet, Non-UK Telecoms, Music and Radio, Non-UK Media, Technology, Telecoms December 2013 Access this report

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Vodafone Q2 2013/14 results: A mountain to climb, with a hill of cash

Vodafone Europe’s revenue growth declined again, as it underperformed a weak market, with pricing pressures still suppressing growth despite recovering macroeconomic conditions

Project Spring is a limited step in the right direction, with European mobile network investment only £3bn out of the £7bn total, but the potential network outcome – 4G coverage better than 2G is now – is impressive

Mobile, Non-UK Telecoms, Telecoms November 2013 Access this report

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European mobile revenue growth and outlook Q1 2013: Hitting a nadir (of sorts)

In this presentation we show our analysis of revenue growth trends for mobile operators in the top five European markets (UK, Germany, France, Italy and Spain). The historical analysis is based on the published results of the operators, although they include our estimates where their data is inconsistent or not complete. A copy of the underlying data in spreadsheet format is available to our subscription clients on reques

Mobile, Non-UK Telecoms, Telecoms June 2013 Access this report

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Iliad in transition

Thanks to bargain prices, France’s Iliad managed to grab 5.2 million mobile subscribers in its first year and to increase its fixed broadband market share, while achieving close to cash flow breakeven at the Group level

In 2013 Free Mobile’s termination charges will fall back to parity with those of its competitors, dramatically shrinking its gross margin, and likely pushing mobile EBITDA firmly negative again

Mobile, Fixed line, Non-UK Telecoms, Telecoms April 2013 Access this report

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European mobile revenue growth and outlook Q4 2012: The rate of decline stabilises

In this presentation we show our analysis of revenue growth trends for mobile operators in the top five European markets (UK, Germany, France, Italy and Spain). The historical analysis is based on the published results of the operators, although they include our estimates where their data is inconsistent or not complete. A copy of the underlying data in spreadsheet format is available to our subscription clients on request

Mobile, Non-UK Telecoms, Telecoms April 2013 Access this report

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Vodafone, KDG and quad play in Europe

German unbundlers are in decline, unable to match cable for price or bandwidth, or to invest in new fibre networks. Vodafone, the second largest unbundler, must choose between consolidating and divesting Merging with Kabel Deutschland would deliver fixed line synergies – with high execution risks.

Mobile, Fixed line, Non-UK Telecoms, Telecoms March 2013 Access this report

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Samsung maintains the pace with the S4

Last week Samsung updated its flagship Galaxy S smartphone with a solid incremental upgrade that will cement its dominance of the high-end of Android, helped by a $14.7bn marketing budget and wide distribution

Impact will be strongest on other Android OEMs: the preceding S3 was heavily outsold by the iPhone and the new model is unlikely to change this, with similar design and positioning

Mobile, Non-UK Telecoms, Technology, Telecoms March 2013 Access this report

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European mobile revenue growth and outlook Q3 2012: Nadir not yet reached, can 4G help?

European mobile market service revenue growth dropped again in Q3, by 1.9ppts to -6.2%. This was not helped by a substantial increase in the MTR impact, driven by a big cut in Italy, but underlying revenue growth still fell by 1.3ppts In stark contrast to Europe, the US mobile market continues to grow apace, with there being over 10ppts between the growth rates of the two regions.

Mobile, Non-UK Telecoms, Telecoms December 2012 Access this report

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Mobile platforms update, Q2 2012: Apple. Android, Samsung and Facebook

Around 125m smartphones were sold globally in Q2, up over 30% from Q2 2011. Around 450m mobile handsets were sold in the quarter, giving smartphones a volume share of around 28% Apple and Android dominate with a combined of 85% of units sold, and a cumulative total of 810m devices running their mobile platforms. Of these we estimate that 680m are active, of which 95m are tablets Android arrived later and has grown faster, but Apple’s market share of smartphones as been steady at 20-25% for several years: Android’s growth has come at the expense of Nokia, RIM and feature phones

Mobile, Non-UK Telecoms, Technology, Telecoms August 2012 Access this report

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H3G HY 2012 results: UK strong, Italy boosted by accounting

H3G’s European operations accelerated their underlying service revenue growth to 7.8% in H1 2012, and EBIT margin improved slightly from 3% to 4%, but the growth appeared to be significantly helped by aggressive handset subsidies in Italy, with the company’s unconventional accounting policy disguising the impact on EBIT The UK business continued to perform very well, with contract net additions strong again helped by falling churn, and service revenue growth accelerating from 13% to 14%.

Mobile, Non-UK Telecoms, Telecoms August 2012 Access this report

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Vodafone Q1 2012/2013 results: Not quite as bad as it seems

Vodafone Europe’s June quarter service revenue growth contracted sharply to -1.6% from -0.2% in the previous quarter

Given various one-off factors, and a likely continued macroeconomic driven slowdown, we expect that Vodafone’s underlying competitive performance is unchanged

The outlook is still poor, with macroeconomic and regulatory headwinds joined by a self-inflicted problem in Spain. Cost control at least appears to be going well, with slowing smartphone sales growth keeping handset costs under control

Mobile, Non-UK Telecoms, Telecoms July 2012 Access this report

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Mobile revenue growth and outlook Q1 2012: Modest improvements, but worse to come

In this presentation we show our analysis of revenue growth trends for mobile operators in the top five European markets (UK, Germany, France, Italy and Spain). The historical analysis is based on the published results of the operators, although they include our estimates where their data is inconsistent or not complete. A copy of the underlying data in spreadsheet format is available to our subscription clients on request.

Mobile, Non-UK Telecoms, Telecoms May 2012 Access this report

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Numericable: beyond deleveraging

France’s sole cable operator, the smallest of the country’s five broadband providers, is sub-scale on the retail market and the heavy cost of servicing its debt leaves only meagre resources to leverage its superior network commercially

However, thanks to its white label deal with Bouygues, Numericable has resumed revenue growth and should achieve its 2014 debt/EBITDA target

As France Télécom’s network upgrade to fibre progresses, the main upside for Numericable lies in a closer alliance with Bouygues and possibly other DSL providers

Fixed line, Non-UK Telecoms, Telecoms May 2012 Access this report

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French fixed line retail upheaval

French ISPs are about to enter a disruptive four month window of penalty-free broadband subscriber churn, triggered by the VAT rise on IPTV

SFR has followed Iliad’s Free by offering unmetered fixed-to-mobile calls at the risk of ARPU decline

We expect Free’s market share to stabilise, whilst those of SFR and Bouygues should rise to the detriment of Orange

Mobile, Fixed line, Non-UK Telecoms, Telecoms January 2011 Access this report

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