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Enders Analysis provides a subscription research service covering the media, entertainment, mobile and fixed telecommunications industries in Europe, with a special focus on new technologies and media.

Our research is independent and evidence-based, covering all sides of the market: consumers, leading companies, industry trends, forecasts and public policy & regulation. A complete list of our research can be found here.

 

Rigorous Fearless Independent

Gill Hind, managing director and director of TV at Enders Analysis, suggested this could particularly impact streaming.

She told the PA news agency: "ITVX is growing but is still behind iPlayer and Channel 4 in terms of how many of the channels’ viewers use the streaming service.

“There could definitely be streamlining crossover opportunities with Sky able to make their programmes available to ITVX users who wouldn’t usually access their shows." She added that sports coverage could also see shared rights across public and paid-for channels.

ITV's advertising revenue held broadly flat YoY in Q3, but remains 5% down across 2025 (£1,247 million  v. 1,313 million). This was more than balanced by the back-end weighted revenues of Studios: now well up on 2024 (£1,350 million v. £1,217 million) 

A very challenging Q4 awaits: pre-budget economic and consumer uncertainty could lead to TAR down 6% across 2025. Digital remains a bright spot

As a whole, the viewing mix of ITV is increasingly dictated by ITVX: going forward, this will mean proportionally less viewing of news and more of drama, including that which is foreign-produced 

VMO2’s fixed business faced significant pressure in Q3, with ARPU declining by 1% in spite of an in-contract price-increase boost, and there is evidence of competitive intensity worsening since then.

The completion of Telefónica’s strategic review provides some clarity on VMO2’s priorities, with ownership changes at VMO2 and a NetCo sale unlikely.

Uncertainty around timing of altnet M&A and other opportunities for VMO2 is creating a lull in its growth profile, but there is reason to believe that clarity on at least some fronts will emerge fairly soon.

Karen Egan, head of Enders Analysis, told The Mail on Sunday it was 'likely' that Liberty would want to sell the rest of its holding in ITV to pump cash into other assets in its empire. 

'It's quite possible it will sell the remaining stake,' Egan said of the ITV holding, though she noted Liberty would need to wait 60 days before selling more of the business. 

She added: 'It might not necessarily sell immediately after that – it'll have to gauge market appetite. But I expect it'll be looking for opportunities to sell.'

 

Karen Egan, head of telecoms at Enders Analysis, the research specialist, said that while there was a role for government money in crowding-in private investment in nascent industries or subsiding fibre build in rural areas, “becoming the lender of last resort in an intensely competitive market with too many players does not seem like a good use of public funds”.

 

According to Karen Egan, managing director for telecoms at Enders Analysis, "the fit is better" with CityFibre because there is "very limited overlap" between the two networks. With VMO2 and its fiber joint venture nexfibre, there would be 50% overlap with Netomnia. 

But, she added that CityFibre is likely able to offer "very limited cash" and more equity for such a transaction. "So, [it's] better industrial logic [with CityFibre], but in this market, it's difficult to compete with cash," she said.

Egan, with Enders Analysis, noted that nexfibre has recently slowed the pace of its network build. The decision has to do with "the struggle to get the right commercial return on self-build, and looming opportunities to pick up altnet networks more cheaply than the cost of building itself," she said.