The General Election of 2019 | Dec 2019

Sectors: 
Brexit
Media
Public Policy

The polls predicting the outcome on December 12 currently imply a Conservative majority of around 18 to 100 seats, making a hung Parliament unlikely

The polls were wrong before: a 2017-sized error still yields a small working majority for Boris Johnson to get his EU withdrawal deal passed by the Commons and the UK out of the EU by the end of January and onto the FTA path

Labour had hoped for a 2017-style surge of support on the back of a big ground campaign fronted by Jeremy Corbyn, but the polls have not tightened as they did two years ago, though the party could still do well among late deciders

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