An analyst note from media research service Enders Analysis suggests that, “Having turned Sky Deutschland around, this divestment allows Sky to be much more focused on core regions with more diversified businesses.”
An analyst note from media research service Enders Analysis suggests that, “Having turned Sky Deutschland around, this divestment allows Sky to be much more focused on core regions with more diversified businesses.”
Gill Hind, of Enders Analysis, said: “A lot of the news out in the US is very, very biased. And for people that are interested in what’s happening, not just in the US but globally, there’ll be a lot of news on the BBC that you wouldn’t get on things such as Fox.
“So if you actually want to have a greater understanding of what’s happening on the world scene and also how the US has been seen by others, then actually something like the BBC is the most obvious channel to go towards.”
Karen Egan, at Enders Analysis, says: “It will be worrying [the Government] because they do have a high proportion of vulnerable customers.
“I think there’s a fear of a lot of disruption, but in the case of TalkTalk there’s a lot of ways they can ensure the service doesn’t ever go down.”
Potential options include a “supplier of last resort” scenario, similar to the one used in the energy sector. This would see a trusted larger player, such as BT, appointed to take over TalkTalk’s customer base should it collapse.
Alternatively, the Government could intervene to prop up the company for a limited period, giving customers time to switch to a different provider of their choosing.
It will also, says Enders Analysis analyst François Godard, position RTL as the “unavoidable” partner for streamers looking to launch, or expand, in Europe’s largest TV market.
“HBO Max is launching in Germany next year; they won’t be able to do it alone,” says Godard. “The logical move now would be for them to partner with RTL/Sky. Disney+ needs growth [in Germany]. Bundling with RTL would make sense.”
While RTL focused on the importance of the Sky deal for its German streaming business, Godard noted that the push to consolidate is also driven by competition in the advertising market. “The streamers have begun carrying ads, competing with the traditional broadcasters,” he notes, “and YouTube, of course, is a huge threat for them.”
Francois Godard, an analyst at Enders Analysis, said Sky had struggled in Germany with market share languishing around 10pc.
Mr Godard said that earlier valuations of Sky Deutschland had been based on “magic growth ... Of course, that did not happen”.
He added: “Germany has always been different from the UK. They never reached the kind of penetration they had in the UK.”
According to François Godard, an analyst at Enders Analysis, one option would be to establish a system of progressive amounts over two years, with a sharing of profits and risks. In return, Canal+ could commit to marketing attractive packages, bundled with the rest of its content.
"The bundle is the essential criterion for a good commercial launch: finding all the matches in the same place, as well as entertainment programs to limit cancellations during the year, and especially in the summer," emphasizes the expert.
"RTL has proven that it can drive momentum in the subscription market," said François Godard, an analyst at the British consulting firm Enders Analysis. He believes that Sky and RTL could become the most important TV providers in Germany.
Any actual enforcement isn’t pegged until 2026. The CMS has deliberately broken up its measures into three waves to speed up the first wave, said Jamie MacEwan, senior analyst at media analysis firm Enders. “It just goes to show how slow the regulatory process is compared to tech companies’ ability to iterate and transform their products at speed,” he said. “Google’s new products are already impacting publishers, and it is only likely to go further, so any delay could mean extra months adapting to a difficult operating environment.”
It’s a bit of a tight-rope walk for the CMA. “Finding a middle ground on things like fair ranking, the CMS could upset Google and publishers alike if it isn’t careful,” added MacEwan. “A key tension is between principles-based and outcomes-based regulation.”
Research by Enders Analysis showed that the UK’s network operators lost contract subscribers for the first time last year, while MVNOs gained 1.65 million.
The research specialist attributes the rise of virtual operators to the cost of living crisis and longer handset lifespans, which has increased demand for Sim-only contracts, “a traditional area of strength” for the MVNOs.
That being said, Tom Harrington, Enders Analysis Head of Television, pointed out that Netflix and TF1 have had a close relationship for some time.
He noted that TF1 boss Rodolphe Belmer used to sit on Netflix’s board and that the two companies are working on Tout Pour La Lumière, the streamer’s first daily drama series, or soap, in France, which was itself branded game-changing when unveiled late last year.
“[TF1] has also no doubt noticed the performance of some of its programming that has been licensed to Netflix compared to on [on-demand service] TF1+ – the ability of certain broadcaster content to find a new audience on Netflix and thrive has been a recurrent theme in most territories over the past decade,” he wrote. Only last year, we explored how the UK was experiencing a Suits effect as older, rather parochial British broadcaster shows found themselves being given a second lease of life on the Netflix most-watched list.