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Publications

Format: 2014-08
Format: 2014-08
Sector(s) Datesort icon

UK consumer magazines: two-tier market opens up

In the first of a two part report examining the current state of the UK consumer magazines sector we focus on the performance of print as paid circulation decline accelerated, down 10% year-on-year in 2013.

We consider the display advertising performance of both consumer and B2B magazines across print and digital and provide forecasts through to 2017. While print display advertising decline in consumer magazines accelerated to 8% in 2013, digital growth was 12%, and digital advertising is now 15% of total display revenues.

Media, Press July 2014 Access this report

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EE Q2 2014 results: 4G accelerates, but revenue growth does not

EE reported impressive operating figures, with 4G net adds accelerating sharply from an already impressive base and mobile contract net adds leading the UK market

Service revenue growth was respectable, but did not improve on the previous quarter despite the surge in premium 4G customers, although profitability did continue to improve as further synergies were realised

Mobile, Telecoms July 2014 Access this report

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BSkyB to be ESkyB - FY 2014 results

2014 saw a fall in profits as BSkyB absorbed the £217 million step-up in the annual cost of PL rights and invested £60-70 million in accelerating growth in its connected offerings, but with strong underlying revenue growth pointing to a resurgence of profits in 2015

The annual results release was over-shadowed by the news of BSkyB’s proposal to create Sky Europe through the acquisition of 21C’s shares in Sky Deutschland and Sky Italia, where it sees great opportunities for revenue growth and cost synergies

Media, TV, Fixed line, Telecoms July 2014 Access this report

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Vodafone Q1 2014/15 results: Modest signs of recovery

Vodafone Europe’s service revenue growth improved slightly in the June quarter, by 0.6ppts to -7.9%, largely due to it running out of revenue to lose in some segments, but contract net adds were disappointing, with the company still losing ground competitively

Investment in Project Spring is surging with capex double the prior year and 4G coverage accelerating, which is very encouraging for the medium term, but it will be some time before this pays off in revenue and profit terms

Mobile, Telecoms July 2014 Access this report

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TalkTalk Group Q1 2014/15 results: Solid start to the financial year

TalkTalk’s June quarter results revealed solid subscriber trends, with broadband, fibre, line rental and TV net adds all either matching or slightly improving upon the previous quarter

Revenue growth dipped down on the previous quarter (3% vs. 5%), but the price increases in May/June have yet to have a full quarter’s effect, and the company remains confident in its full year guidance of at least 4%

Fixed line, Telecoms July 2014 Access this report

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Multichannel TV facing the squeeze: Part 1

The commercial non-PSB sector saw strong growth in share of total TV viewing of close to 40% as the multichannel TV homes universe doubled in the 10 years between the launch of Freeview in October 2002 and completion of digital switchover in October 2012, and even higher 50% growth in SOCI (share of commercial impact) thanks to the higher commercial airtime quotas of the non-main PSB channels

Media, TV July 2014 Access this report

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UK commercial radio: stable market with organic growth prospects

UK radio listening remains very healthy, with the plethora of internet radio and music streaming services now available barely affecting average listening time which has decreased by only 6% (11 minutes per day) since 2008 Commercial radio has maintained a consistent 43% share over this period, but its audience is getting older, as those that grew up with it remain loyal, and the population itself gets older.

Media, Music and Radio July 2014 Access this report

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UK quarterly internet trends Q1 2014

The UK’s love affair with mobile devices continued in Q1 2014, with four times as many smartphones and tablets as PCs shipped during the quarter. Smartphones now account for three quarters of mobile phone sales, and shipments of tablets exceed sales of PCs, though the latter improved during the quarter

Media, Mobile, Internet, Technology, Telecoms July 2014 Access this report

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European mobile in Q1 2014: Underlying remains weak, but consolidation progresses

European mobile service revenue growth improved to -7.6% in Q1 2014 from -9.0% in the previous quarter, but most of the improvement came from a drop in the regulated MTR cut impact, with underlying growth only improving 0.2ppts

This is in spite of continued improvements in GDP growth and the highest level of consumer confidence in six years, confirming that the often-blamed economic conditions actually have been having little impact on the market, with competitive intensity the real cause

Mobile, Non-UK Telecoms, Telecoms July 2014 Access this report

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UK home video: digital switchover

The British Video Association has released full year figures for 2013 for the UK home video market, which reveal that growth in digital video, especially in over-the-top subscription services e.g. Netflix, offset the fall in spend on physical media last year, reversing the previous downward trend

The bad news is that DVD’s decline is set to quicken, as the number of households with stand-alone players has begun to fall, though there should be some respite this year from sales of huge box office hits such as Disney's Frozen and Warner Bros.' Gravity

Media, TV, Internet July 2014 Access this report

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Sky Italia wins no price hike football auction

After a three-week long “messy and opaque” high drama auction Sky retained its broadcast rights for all Italy’s Serie A games for 2015-18 with a negligible 1% price increase.

Its rival Mediaset managed to keep hold of the top fixtures, but its coverage shrinks by 18% whilst paying 35% more. A deal earlier this year for the Champions’ League rights will add considerably to Mediaset’s total costs.

Media, TV, Non-UK Media July 2014 Access this report

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UK mobile market Q1 2014: Heading for positivity

UK mobile service revenue growth remained relatively healthy at -1.6% in Q1 2014, despite the absence of some favourable one-off factors in the previous quarter, consolidating the improvements seen in 2013. Underlying growth improved a touch to 0.3%, and given that the regulatory impact will drop out next quarter, reported revenue growth may well turn positive in Q2

Mobile, Telecoms June 2014 Access this report

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Ofcom fibre margin squeeze test: Putting the brakes on BT Sport?

Ofcom’s fibre margin squeeze test’s initial indicative assessment concludes that BT’s current wholesale/retail pricing is ‘close to the boundary’ of creating a squeeze on its competitors

While BT can take comfort that it is at least close to passing the test, its DSL competitors (Sky, TalkTalk et al) can take comfort that BT cannot make life materially more difficult for them without failing it

Media, TV, Fixed line, Telecoms June 2014 Access this report

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Putting out Fires: Amazon's phone

Amazon has announced a new smartphone, the Fire Phone – a premium-priced device with some unique features and solid hardware; only available in the US at first, its high price and small number of apps limit its appeal

Although initial sales are likely to be low and mainly confined to Amazon Prime members, in the short term the purpose of Fire Phone is simple: to drive increased mobile sales of everything Amazon sells

Media, Mobile, Internet, Technology, Telecoms June 2014 Access this report

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Newspaper advertising: temporary reprieve

National newspaper advertising fell 8% last year (and by 28% since 2007), but we believe a stronger economic outlook will slow the decline in 2014 to about 6%, even if volatility month-to-month makes budgeting and management a relentless challenge.The local and regional press should also experience some—but smaller—reprieve, though the sector will continue to haemorrhage national display advertising, so the sector focus must return to local enterprises.

Media, Press, Internet June 2014 Access this report

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UK broadband, telephony and pay TV trends Q1 2014: Converged growth

Market revenue growth in the UK residential communications sector was surprisingly robust in Q1 2014, rising a touch to over 5% (or around 4% excluding the direct impact of BT Sport) from just under 5% the previous quarter, despite facing a number of headwinds

Revenue growth at the top four operators has converged to around 4% for all, which marks a major long term turnaround for BT and TalkTalk, who back in 2012 were both experiencing firmly declining revenue well below market growth, and have since done much to stabilise their subscriber bases and sustain ARPU growth

Media, TV, Fixed line, Telecoms June 2014 Access this report

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TV and video advertising boom in the UK

Strong growth in the UK economy has created a very positive short term outlook for display advertising, with TV Net Advertising Revenues (NAR) expected to increase by 5% in 2014.

That bright prospect is nonetheless overshadowed by online video advertising, where 2014 is expected to add almost £200 million to the estimated £300 million spent in 2013. YouTube is leading the way, but the TV broadcasters also stand to benefit.

Media, TV, Internet, Technology June 2014 Access this report

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Sky Europe - the latest vision

The latest vision of Sky Europe under discussion between 21st Century Fox and BSkyB has 21st Century Fox maintaining its share in BSkyB at 39%, while BSkyB buys out 21st Century Fox’s interests in Sky Deutschland and Sky Italia

Agreeing the right price will be complicated by the contrasting fortunes of Sky Deutschland, which is enjoying a sustainable boom, and Sky Italia, which, although well run, is holding on to marginal profits in Europe’s most inflated football rights market and in a structurally stagnant and weak economic climate

Media, TV, Fixed line, Non-UK Media, Telecoms June 2014 Access this report

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Vodafone Q4 2013/14 results: Still weak, recovery some way off

Vodafone Europe’s service revenue growth improved by 1.1ppts to -8.5% in the March quarter, but this was all driven by a waning regulatory impact, with underlying growth nudging down slightly

The company’s service revenue growth improved a fraction more than its competitors, but it has barely narrowed the substantial gap, and contract net adds share fell after three consecutive quarters of improvement

Mobile, Telecoms May 2014 Access this report

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Sky Deutschland forecasts to 2017

In Q1 2014 Sky has reaped the rewards of its marketing strategy focused on high quality longer term subscribers with churn hitting a record low, sustaining net adds, while ARPU growth remains healthy However we perceive no change in the underlying trend: Sky’s profitability should rise smoothly towards an EBITDA margin approaching 20% in fiscal 2017 – the last year of the current Bundesliga contract In a market slow to adopt digital innovations Sky is comfortably ahead of the competition – even if trailing international peers.

Media, TV, Non-UK Media May 2014 Access this report

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