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GCap Media - the end of the road [2008-01e]

·     Since its creation in 2005, GCap Media has singularly failed to deliver its shareholders either a return on their investment or a coherent, strategic vision of its future, rendering the company increasingly vulnerable to takeover

·     Global Radio needs to double its radio inventory at minimum to derive benefits of scale and, as we predicted in 2007, GCap is the only obvious candidate to achieve this objective.  GCap’s rejection of Global Radio’s initial £313 million takeover offer is likely to be merely a bargaining tactic, with an acceptable bid likely to be in the vicinity of £350-380 million, in our opinion

·     GCap’s problems are so deeply rooted that the newly appointed Chief Executive, Fru Hazlitt, will face immense difficulties in delivering on new strategies that will succeed in improving shareholder value in the short term

11 Jan 2008 Access to full report for subscribers
 

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The Financial Times

In an article which revealed an upturn in UK regional newspaper property advertising (Johnston buoyed by property ads), the Financial Times quoted an optimistic Johnston Press which predicted that the "total advertising revenues [should] fall less than 3 per cent in the third quarter of 2010, compared with a nadir of 32.7 per cent declines in the depth of the recession last year".

Douglas McCabe was asked for his view. He said: “It’s hard to share Johnston’s optimism that job or property advertising are going to improve or even stay flat in the next year.”
 

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/ec5cba7a-b04f-11df-939d-00144feabdc0.html
25 Aug 2010
 
The Financial Times

In an interview with Gavin Patterson, Chief Executive of BT Retail (Sleeping giant wakes up to technology), the Financial Times observed that BT Vision "has not tackled its rivals impressively since launching in 2006. With fewer than 500,000 subscribers, it missed its initial target of 2m-3m".  The article also revealed that BT's average revenues per broadband customer were declining in the company’s first quarter, due to discounting.

Ian Watt was asked for his view. He estimated that BT will need 2m customers to match Sky’s cost base and see the real benefits start to flow.


http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/9e987b64-a963-11df-a6f2-00144feabdc0.html

16 Aug 2010
 
The Independent

Speculating on the future of Channel Five following its acquisition by Richard Desmond (Knives at Five: Can Richard Desmond rescue his new channel?), the Independent observed: "all eyes are on his next move, as he sets about building a business that he wants to "go toe-to-toe with the biggest players in the TV world".

Claire Enders was asked for her view. She said when the deal closed that his edge was in the "free publicity" from his publications. "He will build the buzz and the glamour in the publications, which is something the channel has been sorely lacking." 

12 Aug 2010
 
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