Publications

Format: Sep 2018
sort descending Sector(s) Date
VOD edges forward

This report sets out our views about current trends and the longer term potential of Video on Demand (VOD) services in a world of converged TV and PC applications

Contrary to views expressed in the Digital Britain Final Report, we think that the non-linear on demand world will develop very slowly, with VOD applications unlikely to achieve more than 5% share of total TV viewing in ten years‟ time

We project that VOD use will achieve 2% of total TV viewing by 2013, some £300 million in total pay revenues and a little over £100 million in spot advertising revenues

Internet, Media 15 July 2009
Vodafone - The Transition to Being a 'Value" Stock

This report looks at the prospects for mobile operators. It focuses on the UK, and Vodafone in particular, because of the high quality of data available to analysts. We think the main conclusions apply widely across European operators.

It is well placed to weather any downturn, though its dependence on recruitment advertising continues to concern outside observers.

  • Vodafone
Telecoms 27 September 2001
Vodafone 2006/07 results and 2007/08 guidance: unambitious?

Vodafone achieved its 2006/07 full year targets on revenue and profitability, with solid revenue growth (underlying about 2% in Europe) but dropping margins (by around 2pps in Europe)

  • Vodafone
Telecoms, Mobile, Non-UK Telecoms 29 May 2007
Vodafone 2007/08 full year results and outlook: solid prospects, but distractions remain

Vodafone’s Q4 revenues were healthy if a little weak, with underlying growth slowing from 2.0% to 1.8%, but the improvement in Germany is very welcome

  • Vodafone
Telecoms, Mobile 28 May 2008
Vodafone 2007/08 interim results: guidance up, but performance down

Vodafone’s European revenue growth has dropped again in the latest quarter, both relative to the prior quarter and its competitors, with Spain performing particularly poorly

  • Vodafone
Telecoms, Mobile, Non-UK Telecoms 14 November 2007
Vodafone 2008/09 full year results: economy and competition start to hurt

 

Vodafone’s European revenue growth dipped sharply in the March 2009 quarter to -3.3% from -1.4% in the previous quarter, due to a combination of recessionary impact and continuing underperformance of the market

EBITDA margins also declined by 2ppts, with falling handset subsidies more than compensated for by a sharp rise in general operating expenses, despite cost cutting efforts

Implied guidance for Vodafone Europe in 2009/10 of an organic 4-5% drop in revenue and 2ppt dip in EBITDA margin is bleak but realistic, with even these figures at risk if either the economy does not start to recover or the company cannot keep general operating expenses flat

 

  • Vodafone
Mobile, Telecoms 19 May 2009
Vodafone 2008/09 H1 results: underperforming competitors

Vodafone’s European organic service revenue growth dropped again in the September quarter, to -1.3%, and we estimate that it continues to underperform its competitors’ growth by two percentage points, thus losing market share. Margins also fell, as the company’s cost reduction measures continue to fail to stop costs rising

  • Vodafone
Telecoms, Mobile, Non-UK Telecoms 13 November 2008
Vodafone 2009/10 FY results: economic recovery benefits revenue, costs not-so-much

Vodafone Europe’s organic revenue growth improved again, from -3.2% to -2.4%, with it enjoying a fair share of the improvement in mobile market growth driven by improving economies across Europe

EBITDA margin fell, partly as a result of weak cost control but mainly because SAC/SRCs rose as Vodafone subsidised consumers getting more expensive handsets, which involves a short term (but not long term) profitability hit

Vodafone Europe could move back into positive revenue growth this year as it rides the wave of market recovery, but short term margin targets will be hard to hit as handset subsidies continue to rise

 

  • Vodafone
Mobile, Telecoms 18 May 2010
Vodafone 360 - all spin?

Vodafone has launched a suite of internet services, platforms and handsets under the ‘Vodafone 360’ umbrella brand

Our views are mixed: we applaud the contacts back-up service that will be available across a wide range of handsets, provided it proves user friendly, but are puzzled by the point of a Vodafone-designed user interface built onto a fairly obscure smartphone operating system

Overall, if Vodafone 360 can stimulate data usage amongst low- to mid-end handset users, Vodafone would profit in both revenue and loyalty terms, but competing at the high end with the likes of Apple, RIM and Google strikes us as both needless and futile

  • Vodafone
Telecoms, Mobile 23 September 2009
Vodafone 3G Launch

Vodafone this week announced its formal 3G launch to great fanfare, with new handsets, services and pricing. This brief note gives our view on the launch and likely impact in Europe and Japan.

 

 

 

  • Vodafone
Telecoms, Mobile 12 November 2004
Vodafone and Cable & Wireless Worldwide: a UK telecoms milestone in prospect

Vodafone’s proposed acquisition of Cable & Wireless Worldwide is far from a done deal and is unlikely to be completed until September

The cost synergies are real but likely slim, with the main rationale being to cost effectively expand Vodafone’s fixed enterprise business in the UK, and to gain the expertise to do this elsewhere

The impact of an acquisition, while gradual, would reverberate for years to come. Wireline wholesalers, then corporate service retailers would be affected, notably BT. Later, the impact could spread to the small business segment. The prospect of Vodafone’s re-entry into the UK residential wireline market would remain distant but more likely

  • Vodafone
  • Cable & Wireless
Fixed Line, Mobile, Telecoms 23 April 2012
Vodafone chooses wholesale broadband from BT

Vodafone is taking the first step in implementing its convergence strategy in the UK by buying broadband from BT Wholesale; while we believe the strategy is misguided, Vodafone’s approach is at least cautious 

The company is at least unlikely to be losing money on the product, and is perhaps just sensibly testing the water for positive consumer interest in a bundled package from Vodafone

We expect the water to be very cold - results from Orange, NTL and BT suggest continued very low consumer interest in fixed-mobile convergence, and we doubt that Vodafone will fare much better

  • Vodafone
Telecoms 14 September 2006
Vodafone December quarter KPIs: improved performance, and prospects good for 2008

Vodafone’s European performance was very solid, with underlying growth of 1.9%, up from 1.7% last quarter, with some very encouraging moderation to price cuts in Germany and elsewhere

  • Vodafone
Telecoms, Mobile 1 February 2008
Vodafone December quarter update: inflection attained

Vodafone’s European revenue growth improved by 1.4 percentage points in the December 2009 quarter to reach -3.2%, the first improvement since the start of the economic slowdown in 2008

While data revenue is growing fast in absolute terms, its contribution to growth is flat to slightly down, with the main driver being more traditional services improving due to the recovery in year-on-year GDP growth

We expect revenue growth to continue to improve as economic comparables improve, with a return to positive growth likely by the end of 2010

  • Vodafone
Telecoms, Fixed Line, Non-UK Telecoms 4 February 2010
Vodafone drops Carphone Warehouse, but who will fall further?

In a fit of pique over increasing subsidies, Vodafone UK is dropping Carphone Warehouse (CPW) as a distributor, and moving exclusively to Phones4U with lower subsidy levels and volume guarantees, while Orange is reportedly also considering its position with CPW

  • Vodafone
  • Orange
  • Carphone Warehouse
Telecoms, Mobile 14 October 2006
Vodafone FY 2010/11 results: performing well in a weak market, smartphones helping

Vodafone Europe’s service revenue growth dipped by 1ppt in the March 2011 quarter, but nearly all of this was due to regulated MTR cuts, with its competitive performance actually improving again

The combined Europe and common cost EBITDA margin was actually held flat in H2 10/11 on H2 09/10, aided by some heroic (and, frankly, uncharacteristic) cost cutting efforts, with Vodafone’s cost profligacy days apparently behind it

The outlook for next quarter is poor due to the UK MTR cut, but we then expect revenue growth to steadily improve for the rest of the year, with smartphone-driven data growth a help rather than a hindrance

  • Vodafone
Mobile, Telecoms 17 May 2011
Vodafone FY 2011/12 results: Revenue growth improves, margins shakier

Vodafone Europe’s revenue growth improved by 1.5ppts on a reported basis and by 0.3ppts on an underlying basis; given the deterioration in macroeconomic conditions, this is a strong result, and Vodafone extended its outperformance of competitors

Margins were weaker with European EBITDA margin dropping about 1ppt on an underlying basis in H2. SAC/SRCs were for once well under control, but a very small rise in ‘other’ costs pushed margins down; with revenue growth well below inflation, maintaining margins is a massive challenge

The Group’s strategy continues to be sound, and is validated by its competitive outperformance, but market conditions are likely to keep its revenue growth negative and margins slightly declining for the next year at least

  • Vodafone
Mobile, Telecoms 22 May 2012
Vodafone H1 2006/07 results: on the mend?

Vodafone’s revenue growth has improved, with core underlying growth rising both relative to the previous quarter and relative to its competitors

  • Vodafone
Telecoms, Mobile 16 November 2006
Vodafone H1 2009/10 results: hitting the nadir?

Vodafone Europe’s service revenue growth declined again in the September quarter to -4.6%, but on an underlying basis it improved, and volume growth also improved, suggesting that improving economic fundamentals are starting to feed through

Margins again fell, with the net benefit of the cost reduction program a long way from compensating for revenue declines, but overhead costs are at least dropping in absolute terms

We are optimistic that revenue growth can continue recovering in Europe, implying a still-depressed 2009/10 but a much better 2010/11, with positive revenue growth in 2010/11 a real possibility, and that the company could stabilise margins if it sticks to cost reduction plans, and resists the temptation to ‘reinvest’ in ‘strategic’ initiatives

  • Vodafone
Telecoms, Mobile, Non-UK Telecoms 11 November 2009
Vodafone H1 2011/12 results: Doing well in difficult circumstances

Vodafone Europe’s service revenue growth improved marginally in the September quarter, a very solid performance under tricky circumstances, helped by good competitive performances and judicious pricing measures

The combined Europe and group common function EBITDA margin was again held flat, despite continued smartphone adoption pushing up handset costs, with strong cost control again evident

Pricing, competitive, regulatory and cost trends are all going well; but macroeconomic trends are clearly not, and are likely to make an acceleration in the second half of the year very difficult

  • Vodafone
  • T-Mobile
Mobile, Telecoms 10 November 2011

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