Publications

Format: Jun 2015
Sector(s) Datesort ascending
Mobile revenue growth: March 2008 quarter and outlook

European revenue growth improved by a whole percentage point this quarter, jumping to 2.2% from 1.2% last quarter. Most of this (0.7 percentage points) was due to a reduced regulatory impact, and this should continue to improve throughout this year, with the impact due to drop from about 4% to less than 1% by early next year

Telecoms, Mobile, Non-UK Telecoms 17 June 2008
UK Commercial Radio Q1 2008

UK commercial radio revenues increased by 6.7% in Q1 2008 year-on-year, resulting in four consecutive quarters of growth for the first time since 2004

Media, Music and Radio 16 June 2008
UK advertising: internet to overtake TV this year

We expect UK online advertising to reach £3.56 billion this year overtaking TV ad spend which we estimate will be £3.39 billion, making the internet the UK’s largest single advertising medium, accounting for over 19% of total expenditure

Internet, TV, Media 15 June 2008
Iliad buys Alice

Iliad is to recover the No. 2 spot on the French broadband market, behind France Télécom’s Orange, after acquiring Alice, ending Telecom Italia’s ill fated five-year French venture

  • Iliad
Telecoms, Fixed Line, Non-UK Telecoms 11 June 2008
Apple iPhone 3G: faster... cheaper... slimmer margins

The much anticipated iPhone 3G is due to launch in July; it will include 3G and GPS, but will otherwise be quite similar to the old model, and is still a little off-the-pace in feature terms

  • Apple
Telecoms, Mobile 10 June 2008
Virgin Radio – new owner, new name, new beginning

After a protracted offer period, Scottish Media Group has finally sold its national commercial radio business ‘Virgin Radio’ to Bennett, Coleman & Company Limited for £53.2 million cash. The sale does not include the licence to continue using the brand name from the Virgin Group, so the station will be re-branded and re-launched by its new owner in autumn 2008. This report argues that, although the value of Virgin Radio’s main AM analogue platform is diminishing, the value of the accompanying FM licence in London could be significantly increased by the execution of a successful turnaround strategy. The London licence alone could reflect the price paid for the whole business, if the station’s rock music programming were to be made more relevant to consumers and advertisers in the capital

  • SMG
Media, Music and Radio 8 June 2008
Orange threat to Canal+ targets

Canal+ is entering a critical phase of growth following the recent merger with its former rival Télévision Par Satellite (TPS). Vivendi has set short term guidance targets for 2010 of 11.5 million subscriptions, turnover above €5 billion and more than doubling of EBITA from €490 million to over €1 billion. This presentation examines these targets and concludes that Canal+ will fall short of all them. In the best case baseline scenario of least competition from other pay-TV and free-to-air (FTA) services, it projects EBITA in 2010 of just €890 million

  • Orange
  • Canal Plus
Media, TV, Non-UK Media 8 June 2008
UK mobile user survey

The attached report contains the 2008 edition of our regular review of UK mobile user trends, based on a survey of 1,000 adults. We look at handset ownership, replacement trends, handset manufacturer choice, network operator choice, 3G handset ownership, usage of existing services such as photo-messaging and the mobile internet and, finally, interest in new services such as mobile TV and datacards

Telecoms, Mobile 7 June 2008
ITV outperformance in a weakening advertising market

The worsening economic outlook has caused us to lower our forecasts of TV net advertising revenue (NAR) growth in 2008 to -2.5%, although there is still little visibility beyond H1, which is expected to register -1% growth

  • ITV
Media, TV 4 June 2008
Privatising Radios One and Two: how to kill commercial radio with kindness

The privatisation of the BBC’s two national music radio networks – Radio One and Radio Two – is in the news again and is being proposed by certain commentators as a potential solution to the current problems facing the UK commercial radio industry. This report argues that, far from being a solution, unleashing these two highly successful BBC stations on the commercial sector will imperil the existence of many stations. This would dramatically increase the volume of advertising time available, at a time of glut, and draw advertising spend away from many stations

  • BBC
Media, Music and Radio 2 June 2008
Triple play in France

This presentation reports on the triple play of broadband, full telephony and DSL-delivered IPTV in France, the leading market in Europe for the triple play. Of France’s 16.2 million broadband subscribers, one third have migrated entirely to the VoIP services supplied by their broadband provider, dropping their line rental from France Télécom. We estimate that about 3.5 million households have activated the set-top box to receive DSL-delivered IPTV on their main set, also receiving digital terrestrial TV

  • France Telecom
Telecoms, Fixed Line, Non-UK Telecoms 31 May 2008
Vodafone 2007/08 full year results and outlook: solid prospects, but distractions remain

Vodafone’s Q4 revenues were healthy if a little weak, with underlying growth slowing from 2.0% to 1.8%, but the improvement in Germany is very welcome

  • Vodafone
Telecoms, Mobile 28 May 2008
Cable & Wireless full year results to March 2008: International still weak but continuing progress in the UK

International performance continued to be weak apart from Macau, although well within EBITDA guidance. Turnaround in Jamaica remains a significant challenge

  • Cable & Wireless
Telecoms, Fixed Line, Non-UK Telecoms 27 May 2008
Regionals at the cliff edge

Regional publishers are reporting steep downturns in advertising revenues in the early weeks of 2008. If the trend continues throughout 2008, print advertising could drop £250 million (9%) to £2.5 billion

Media, Press 19 May 2008
BT FY 2007-08 Q4 results: continued pressure on underlying performance

BT’s Q4 results were a welcome improvement on Q3, with better growth in revenue, consistent growth in EBITDA and strong growth in cash flow

 

 

 

  • BT
Telecoms, Fixed Line 18 May 2008
Sky Picnic on Ice

Ofcom has linked Sky's plans for a pay service on DTT (Picnic) to its wider investigation into the UK market for pay-TV, announcing on 13th May that it will issue its next statement on both issues simultaneously by the end of the summer. This is the first time the regulator has indicated that it is merging its consideration of Picnic with that of the wider pay-TV market

  • Sky
Media, TV 12 May 2008
Virgin Media Q1 2008 results: turning point in prospect

VMed’s Q1 results represent a further step in the recovery of the core cable business, with markedly lower churn and strong growth in operating cash flow (OCF)

  • Virgin Media
TV, Media, Telecoms, Fixed Line 11 May 2008
BT Total Broadband Anywhere: Fusion enhanced, but still nowhere

BT’s new mobile product, BT Total Broadband Anywhere, is sensibly being sold as an optional add-on to its broadband line up, maximising the cross-selling opportunity

  • BT
Telecoms, Fixed Line 7 May 2008
HD now on Freesat

The BBC-ITV Freesat venture, launched on 6th May, is the public service response to Sky’s free satellite service. Once fully up and running in 2009, Freesat aims to match Sky with 200 digital TV channels in standard definition (SD), and surpass Sky with extra channels in High Definition (HD), plus the facility to offer iPlayer and Kangaroo

  • Sky
  • ITV
  • BBC
Media, TV 7 May 2008
Sky Q3 FY 2008 results: strong fixed line growth, but at a price

Sky Q3 FY 2008 results confirm the strength of the core pay-TV business, where the marketing strategy is now focused on subscriber quality rather than pure numbers. Sky+ boxes continue to fly off the shelves, while weak HD and Sky Multiroom sales call for attention in fiscal 2009

  • Sky
TV, Media 4 May 2008

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