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Enders Analysis provides a subscription research service covering the media, entertainment, mobile and fixed telecommunications industries in Europe, with a special focus on new technologies and media.

Our research is independent and evidence-based, covering all sides of the market: consumers, leading companies, industry trends, forecasts and public policy & regulation. A complete list of our research can be found here.

 

Rigorous Fearless Independent

Referral collapse and AI summarisation have made it harder for content investment to capture commercial value. Original reporting remains the authority anchor of the bundle, but the economics of serving habitual news users have become structurally harder.

High engagement does not automatically translate into loyalty. Sustainable growth depends on three engines: engagement (depth and distinctive voice), habit (repeatable utility driving daily return) and community (shared identity binding users to brand).

Distinctive voice and personality are the moat in an AI-mediated environment. Publishers building branded formats, creator programmes and deliberate pathways from platform presence back into owned products are constructing defensible, post-platform economics.

Enders Analysis senior research analyst Niamh Burns, meanwhile, believes the marketplaces being built by the likes of Microsoft are a genuine business necessity, not just a public relations stunt, because tech companies need legally sound data for their growing number of enterprise clients.

In parallel, the European Commission is investigating Google over its use of publisher content in AI without “appropriate compensation”, while the UK’s Competition and Markets Authority is currently consulting on “publisher conduct requirements” to address the structural market harms caused by the search giant.

“It is not one-way traffic with journalists leaving to become creators,” said Laura Darcey, research analyst at Enders Analysis.

 “Journalists that have grown up within legacy media can find new freedoms and monetization opportunities by branching out alone, but we’re not about to see a mass exodus. Journalists will find themselves competing in the broader attention and subscription economy where challenges of subscription fatigue and limited discretionary spending apply.”

“While going it alone creates a direct avenue for reaching a journalist’s most ardent fans, and global distribution platforms create meaningful scale effects, many independent journalists have small audiences, with most Substack newsletters remaining small scale in terms of paid subscriber numbers,” said Enders’ Darcey.

Karen Egan, head of telecoms at Enders Analysis, says Schüler has done “phenomenally well to grow ebitda” as cheaper, customer-focused innovators threaten VMO2’s historic strengths. “Perhaps too well, as there is some sense that there could have been more of an eye to the longer-term financials and brand reputation at times.”

 

European service revenue growth declined to -1.3% in Q4 as trouble in France weighed even more heavily.

In contrast to a couple of years ago, the Italian and Spanish markets have the most positive momentum.

Network sovereignty is driving satellite direct-to-device strategies, and may cause some regret about mobile tower sales, which are also proving more contentious than hoped.

Lenders including the UK’s taxpayer-backed National Wealth Fund, NatWest and Lloyds have taken control of broadband provider Gigaclear after taking a significant haircut on its near-£1bn debt pile.
 

Karen said the restructuring was likely to be one of many in the troubled altnet sector.

“It’s not an easy thing to pull off but is the right move for the company — putting it on a better footing as a going concern and in consolidation negotiations,” she added.
 


 

We forecast broadcaster viewing to decline to 50% of all video viewing by 2031 (from 54% in 2025), driven by continued declines in live viewing, albeit at a slower rate than the sharp year-on-year drop seen in 2025.

Non-live broadcaster viewing will increase its share, supported by older demographics as viewing plateaus among under-35s—a trend also true of SVOD services. YouTube is projected to continue its advance on the TV set across all ages.

Although total TV ‘usage’ is flat versus pre-COVID levels, a material and seemingly growing proportion of it (~9%) is when nothing is being watched (e.g. pausing, browsing): this is correlated with smartphone usage and impinges on actual viewing volumes.

"I completely approve of her strategy to encourage a real sense and actions related to the overall well-being of the company."

"There has never been a common culture at WPP – it’s been a holding company structure for so long and created via acquisitions. Rose is attempting to create a team culture of shared achievement, which is bound to be a positive direction."

In early March, OpenAI pulled back from Instant Checkout, a plan in which consumers would shop for goods directly inside ChatGPT. This was after a five-month trial in which the company appears to have found that building a successful commerce platform is harder than it looks. “Like many of OpenAI’s initial launches, it felt more like a public demo of what the tech could do than a very sustained effort to set up a commerce business,” said Niamh Burns, an analyst at Enders.

Then, last week, it ditched Sora, its viedo-generation platform, and with it a $1bn deal in which Disney was going to license OpenAI-generated content to “unlock new possibilities in imaginative storytelling”. This was strategic for OpenAI, because Sora was a money pit. It was awkward for Disney, which reportedly learned that the platform would be axed an hour before the public did.