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Enders Analysis provides a subscription research service covering the media, entertainment, mobile and fixed telecommunications industries in Europe, with a special focus on new technologies and media.

Our research is independent and evidence-based, covering all sides of the market: consumers, leading companies, industry trends, forecasts and public policy & regulation. A complete list of our research can be found here

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Rigorous Fearless Independent

The UK’s largest mobile virtual network operator, which has more than 5.8mn customers according to estimates by Enders Analysis, has held initial talks about offering broadband services over Virgin Media O2 and Nexfibre’s fibre networks, according to two people familiar with the matter.

The plans, which are at an initial stage, would revive Tesco’s broadband offering 11 years after it sold its previous broadband service, which comprised 75,000 customers, to rival TalkTalk. Since then, the company has focused on its mobile offering, which has grown from 4.4mn customers in 2015 to 5.8mn this year, according to figures from Enders Analysis, with subscribers drawn to its affordable prices and strong customer service.

Gareth Sutcliffe of Enders Analysis says there is hypothetical potential for that to be exceeded, saying that a "blow out sales scenario" would be "in excess of 50 million units in year one, possibly closing in on 60 million," a figure he describes as "unparalleled."

Gareth Sutcliffe thinks GTA 6 could sell north of 50 million units in its first year.

Few major football rights deals have been announced since auctions for UEFA rights in its top five markets and LaLiga’s new domestic cycle were completed late last year.

Football is increasing its dominance of sports viewing in the UK driven by expanded live coverage from broadcasters, and continues to be one of the youngest-skewing sports alongside darts and F1.

As premium football rights continue to take the lion’s share of sports rights spending, Sky’s recently extended partnership with Formula One shows the value of complementary rights properties.

Tech companies are reinventing themselves in a once-in-a-generation revolution, with a sweeping reassessment of staff, and product makeovers working their way down to media partners.

Memory and other component costs will impact the 2027 upgrade cycle for consumer tech from PCs to phones—just as local processing of AI features is supposed to sell more devices.

There is a rationalisation of AI’s inevitability across all businesses, despite risks spanning privacy, legality and ‘misfiring’ agents. Media’s red lines on using AI to create content may be overtaken by platforms and creators.

"The main purpose of Prime (alongside peripheral things like making the overall Prime subscription even more stickier for consumers) is to sell third-party video subscriptions (i.e. Prime Video Channels like Paramount+, Discovery+ etc) and rent films – original Prime content is a hook to get viewers there in the first place," says Tom Harrington of media researchers Enders Analysis.

Enabling self-serve in the U.K. will rapidly expand OpenAI’s advertising demand, but ramping up supply to match growth will be more of a challenge given its more restrictive regulatory environment, according to Claire Holubowskyj, senior research analyst at Enders Analysis. 

“This should reinforce pricing in the near term, though ultimately performance will depend on the trust it can establish in its product and attribution,” she said. “Following the same roadmap as the U.S. highlights that their current priority remains building infrastructure scale first, leaving the trickier questions over model and format for later.”

"These are important controls, and it’s encouraging to see Google and the CMA engaging like this, showing the benefits of a flexibly designed regulatory system. Control is an important principle; without it, publishers don’t have leverage."

"Having said that, opting out won’t automatically mean you are in a stronger position. The wider issue is where the search product is going, and these sorts of controls don’t change the direction of travel."

"Google is allowing publishers to make different decisions about how they appear in "AI" versus "non-AI" search features, but the reality is that those two forms of search are converging. So even if you decide to confine yourself to traditional search, you might find that it is a shrinking proportion of the interface. This has impacts for discovery longer-term; for top-of-funnel discovery, you might want a "share of voice" in AI Mode."

“By laying the groundwork for self-serve brand integrations and structuring native ad units aligned to IAB standards, it is aiming to tap into long-tail demand and existing programmatic budgets,” said Claire Holubowskyj, senior research analyst at Enders Analysis. “It parallels the shift towards live ad insertion in sports broadcasting and taps into the authenticity created by the presence of advertising in real-world sports, circumventing the challenges of maintaining immersion and seamlessness faced by other games advertising formats.”

Broadband market revenue for the ‘big 4’ remains in decline as recovering subscriber trends are countered by worsening ARPU.

While abating altnet pressure should eventually lead to recovery, in the short term we expect revenue growth to worsen as the seasonal effect of annual price rises bites in the June quarter.

The longer-term outlook for the altnet sector is increasingly in regulators’ hands as the CMA decides on nexfibre/Netomnia and Ofcom decides on Openreach’s new special offer discounts