Airband is one of dozens of so-called altnet providers set up to challenge industry incumbents BT Openreach and Virgin Media O2.  However, the high cost of building out their networks has left altnets saddled with net debts of about £9bn, according to figures from Enders Analysis.

The altnets collectively posted losses in 2024 that Enders put at more than £1.5bn, as consumer uptake fell short of expectations. 

Gareth Sutcliffe, head of Media Technology & Gaming at Enders Analysis, said in a message to GamesBeat, “This announcement still doesn’t provide any insight as to what the pathway for success is for Xbox, so you have to presume that we’re at that warm up act, not the main event. Building fewer games with IPs that haven’t performed simply won’t be enough.”

He added, “Xbox is probably fortunate that the current FTE shrink target is only 20%, it easily could have been 25%+, and by the end of FY27 it’s possible that is where Xbox ends up, particularly if international operations, which take longer to shrink and aren’t announced, are included.”

“In-game advertising has been framed as the next big thing for a long time, but development was slow while programmatic and automation could not be reconciled with the need to maintain the integrity of the game experience,” said Claire Holubowskyj, senior research analyst at Enders Analysis. “Sport is a notable exception with strong advertising affinity: by investing in its own platform EA is capitalising on its early-mover advantage and dominant position over premium sports gaming.”

 

Claire Enders, founder and chief executive of Enders Analysis, said the move had come as a surprise given that the grounds for intervention appeared relatively weak.

But she said Nandy, an ally of Andy Burnham, who is set to become Britain's next prime minister this month, appeared to be using the prospect of delay to secure commitments.

"Substance is never that important," she said. "What ​really matters is making big promises, way in advance of events. And this intervention seems to be structured in order to attain that."

“OpenAI has refused to share chat contents with advertisers (it cannot risk eroding user trust), making external verification a requirement to prove effectiveness and build the necessary advertiser trust to transition into being a core part of media budgets,” said Claire Holubowskyj, senior research analyst at Enders Analysis.

“It proves performance but can’t deliver it: OpenAI is still developing the model for chatbot-native advertising and is yet to land on a truly differentiated format,” Holubowskyj said.

Karen Egan, managing director of telecoms at Enders Analysis, said it was “difficult to see any negatives” with the deal. 

“It offers a way of sharing the substantial cost of serving multinational customers. Telecoms is a scale business, and once outside your home market it’s very difficult to have that scale without partnering up,” she said, adding that the equalisation payment was “quite a boon in a world where cash is all-important”. 

Karen Egan, head of telecoms at Enders Analysis, said the move to prioritise the UK made a lot of sense. “A lot of the international expansion was just folly really, and more suitable for different times when the industry had more growth in it, and was much less competitive,” she said. “The priority has become much more getting your own house in order domestically.”

Headcount at tech’s big five of Apple, Meta, Google, Microsoft and Amazon has been effectively flat since 2022, according to figures from Enders Analysis.

“Proving to the market that AI can deliver a productivity dividend is critical as one of the use cases for the technology,” analysts at Enders noted. “‘Right sizing’ the overall headcount becomes the headline example.”