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Enders Analysis provides a subscription research service covering the media, entertainment, mobile and fixed telecommunications industries in Europe, with a special focus on new technologies and media.

Our research is independent and evidence-based, covering all sides of the market: consumers, leading companies, industry trends, forecasts and public policy & regulation. A complete list of our research can be found here.

 

Rigorous Fearless Independent

“The industry needs to move beyond a binary subscription-or-advertising model,” said Enders Analysis senior analyst Abi Watson. “Programs like this let publishers monetize their most valuable users in more sophisticated ways.”

“[The Leadership Institute] delivers two things for the Journal: a reputational halo effect and increased customer lock-in, especially for corporate subscriptions,” Watson said. “It creates more predictable annual cash flow while deepening ties with influential business audiences.”

US tariffs and regulations are sparing no one in 2025—Microsoft, the ‘winner’ of the earnings quarter, is still making plans to protect its European business in a doomsday scenario.

Hyperscalers who have piled their eggs into cloud cannot afford a misstep—this is driving record capex to satisfy cloud demand. We expect to see lumpiness in Q2-Q3, feeding investors’ worries.

Revenue impacts have been felt first at US retail, softening ad demand, with the UK relatively protected for now. Despite relief at the 90-day ‘reset’ with China, economic and political uncertainty remains the story of the year.

ITV's total external revenue rose 4% year-on-year in Q1 (to £756 million), although a material drop in internal Studios sales (down by £41 million) meant a decline in total group revenue (-1% to £875 million). Ad revenue was down 2% and will face tough men's Euros comparisons for the next two quarters 

Even with continuing online growth, ITV's overall viewing continues to decline. However, ITVX usage is displaying favourable characteristics that could foretell greater resilience and volume

Further, although the levels of viewing on the ad-tiers of the major SVOD services is analogous to ITVX, the difference in how well that viewing is monetised is stark

“It’s not completely uncontroversial to say that referral traffic will decline more [as a result of Google AI overviews and AI engines], it’s a question of how much,” said Douglas McCabe, CEO of media analysis firm Enders Analysis. 

McCabe believes publishers are slowly and reluctantly accepting that the incentives of the tech platforms — building people’s habitual use of answer engines, and providing the kind of utility that keeps them within the engines as long as possible — do not align with ensuring publishers get referral traffic. Website monetization itself, he believes, is under threat.

All Points Fibre has built out its network to 568,000 homes at the end of March, according to estimates from Enders Analysis, the research company. The company reported a pre-tax loss of £35.2 million for 2023.

Karen Egan, at Enders Analysis, said that Cityfibre’s wholesale model means it benefits from well-known brands such as TalkTalk and, shortly, Sky, placing customers onto its network, which “gives it a credible path to towards much higher network take-up rates than those enjoyed by retail-focused altnets”.

The slowdown in telecoms traffic volume growth post-pandemic has persisted for far longer than a simple hangover effect would imply, and has spread from fixed broadband to mobile in many markets

The eventual emergence of the metaverse and/or AI-generated traffic may mitigate this trend, but it is hard to see growth ever returning to a sustained 30%+ per annum level, with around 10-15% likely to prove the new normal

While far from disastrous for telcos, it does have important implications, such as the need to structure pricing more carefully, focus on network quality over capacity, and be more wary of the threat (or opportunity) from MVNOs, FWA and satellite

Broadsheet was cited as a case study in a new report for the PPA by Enders Analysis called "Rewriting the media playbook".

The report says: “Broadsheet has identified London as the most culturally exciting city in the world right now. There is a litany of small publishers and influencers who cover different elements of the city to different degrees, but Broadsheet believes there is no single dedicated resource focused purely on culture in London

“They aim to appeal to a large target audience of cultural and relatively affluent city dwellers, in addition to a large Australian community for in-built brand recognition.”

VMO2 reported solid financials in Q1, with revenue and EBITDA growth both improving and both (just) ahead of full year guidance.

Subscriber momentum however was poor across fixed and mobile, despite customer service improving, with broadband in particular likely to get worse as network buildout slows.

Meeting full year guidance is still achievable, but will likely require a significant altnet slowdown sooner rather than later in the year.