Enders Analysis estimates that the combined Vodafone-Three entity would instantly become an £8bn revenue company, a little larger than EE at £7bn and O2 at £6bn, and far better placed to take them on.
Enders calculates that EE earns a return of 24pc on capital expenditure, while the two stragglers, Vodafone and Three, muster 8pc and 5pc respectively.
“The market seems to be heading towards greater polarisation between the haves and have-nots from a scale perspective, such that the smaller players may no longer be credible competitive forces,” Enders Analysis warned in a research note last week.
Karen Egan of Enders points out that aggregate investment doesn’t even need to go up. Even if it stays the same, with three rather than four, it will be far more effectively deployed, something we’ll tangibly see in more reliable calls and stronger coverage.