Homepage

Enders Analysis provides a subscription research service covering the media, entertainment, mobile and fixed telecommunications industries in Europe, with a special focus on new technologies and media.

Our research is independent and evidence-based, covering all sides of the market: consumers, leading companies, industry trends, forecasts and public policy & regulation. A complete list of our research can be found here.

 

Rigorous Fearless Independent

However, the group could create a separate company, listed in Paris, which it would control 51% of, and in which the two free-to-air channels would be housed, estimates François Godard, from the Enders Analysis firm. Having gone to London to attract international investors, "it is unlikely that Canal will refuse an interesting offer to save CNews and CStar," notes the analyst.

"There is always the option of selling CNews to the Bolloré group. This channel may be a commercial success, but will never be a source of substantial profits," adds the expert.

“Is this one worth a billion dollars?” asks Francois Godard, media analyst at Enders Analysis. “DAZN has yet to break even in its established markets like Germany, Italy and Spain, and it has just launched premium coverage in France, a new venture that will need a while to become cash positive.” Godard concludes DAZN may have other reasons to go into such a partnership.

Godard says the deal will expand DAZN’s reach in the US where it is mostly associated with boxing. DAZN added that the deal isn’t restricted to the tournament but relates to a broader partnership with FIFA.

Streaming shows can't be included in the profit calculation as subscribers don't specifically pay to watch each one but instead are billed a flat fee which gives them access to all of the content. As Tom Harrington of media consultants Enders Analysis explains, "given the structure of the streaming model it is almost impossible to robustly attribute profitability to any single piece of content." Therein lies the problem.

The proposal from DCMS to expand the pre-digital “public interest” regime that requires clearance for changes in the equity stakes in print newspapers to online news publishers lacks a firm rationale in 2024.

A plethora of online sources dilute the influence of news brands and their proprietors over British people’s political views, in particular the platforms (X, YouTube, TikTok and Facebook) hosting self-publishing influencers, politicians and political advertising.

The UK's expanded future regime, if enacted, will further chill the appetite of investors for stakes in commercial media, reduce their value and ability to raise capital, and stifle beneficial consolidation.
 

The CMA has approved the merger of Vodafone and H3G, paving the way for the UK’s largest mobile network operator.

Remedies are in place to ensure pricing stability in the short term, with the increase in sector capacity keeping the pricing side of the equation in check over the longer term, together with network quality upsides for users.

This is the right outcome in our view, with the alternative of a slow, painful retreat by H3G much less desirable for the industry. BT/EE will face the greatest challenges in adapting to the new market structure, with upward pressure on capex spend for all network operators.