Homepage

Enders Analysis provides a subscription research service covering the media, entertainment, mobile and fixed telecommunications industries in Europe, with a special focus on new technologies and media.

Our research is independent and evidence-based, covering all sides of the market: consumers, leading companies, industry trends, forecasts and public policy & regulation. A complete list of our research can be found here.

 

Rigorous Fearless Independent

Altnet losses expanded to £1.5 billion in 2024, according to a new annual report by Enders Analysis. Research found that alternative fibre network providers faced a tough adverse conditions as earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortisation (EBITDA) losses continued while interest charges and operating costs rose sharply, but the average revenue per user fell. It stated, “The increasing interest burden [is] looking unpayable under any reasonable scenario”.

The report noted that even the best performers struggle to break even before EBITDA breakeven and there are not sufficient margins to invest in customer acquisition, “resulting in a perpetual cash drain for their investors”.

Enders Analysis have warned quite starkly about the unsustainable losses incurred by alternative network operators challenging incumbent Openreach and others on full fibre rollout. In their report titled “UK Altnets: Something’s got to give” they highlight some of the key challenges faced by altnets in the wider competitive landscape.

“Altnet losses expanded to £1.5bn in 2024, as EBITDA losses persisted and interest costs rose sharply, with ARPUs weakening and operating costs stubbornly high, and the increasing interest burden looking unpayable under any reasonable scenario.

Even the best performing altnets can barely make EBITDA breakeven, and not make sufficient margins to cover ongoing customer acquisition investment, resulting in a perpetual cash drain for their investors.

DMGT proposes to acquire Telegraph Media Group (TMG) after RedBird Capital pulled its bid. 

TMG has a pristine balance sheet and is ready to be sold by RedBird IMI for the reserve price of £500 million to DMGT.

Lacklustre results for the topline in 2024 are partly due to the lengthy period of limbo since May 2023, but EBITDA is steady at £61 million.

“All things lead to some sort of innate quality or relevance relative to other production markets,” says Tom Harrington, at Enders Analysis.

“You would assume that the near universality of the English language drives it – and it can’t not be helpful, but it’s more than that.”

“Everyone is already making less content and consolidation will only add to this downward trend in production volumes – nobody merges to spend more,” says Harrington.

Harrington is sceptical about how much money UK producers can make through this strategy.

“The one rule of TV is that no one knows if something will be a success, let alone if they will then buy a T-shirt,” he says.

With still way more than 100 altnets across the full length of the UK, highly respected digital media and telecom sector research firm Enders Analysis laid bare today quite how economically constrained they are, in a new report published for its subscribers and entitled UK altnets: Something's got to give. In its summary, the Enders Analysis team noted that the collective losses reported by the altnets totalled £1.5bn in 2024, “as EBITDA [earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation] losses persisted and interest costs rose sharply, with ARPUs [annunal revenue per user] weakening and operating costs stubbornly high, and the increasing interest burden looking unpayable under any reasonable scenario.” 

Aggregate losses at the UK's alternative network operators (altnets) reached £1.5 billion (US$1.9 billion) at the end of last year, up from £1.3 billion ($1.7 billion) in 2023, according to a new report from Enders Analysis. The report claims that even the best-performing of the altnets can "barely make EBITDA [earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization] breakeven, and not make sufficient margins to cover ongoing customer acquisition investment, resulting in a perpetual cash drain for their investors." 

Big tech, even the US economy at large, is betting the house on AI. Some air might come out of the bubble, but AI investments’ trajectory will stay the course over the next 24 months.

UK national media and content creators face an acute challenge as they exploit global platforms’ ‘export’ opportunities, with AI’s ‘glocalisation’ potential a key new trend for future online video.

AI platforms could create an even tougher online media environment over the next few years. OpenAI’s spending plans are predicated on resetting how people shop, search and access entertainment.

Paramount wins the rights to the largest packages of Champions League matches for 2027-31 in the UK and Germany, taking over from TNT Sports and DAZN.

In the UK, increased fragmentation of premium football coverage strengthens Sky’s attractiveness as an aggregator.

In Germany, Paramount will accelerate the market reshuffle.

Looking at the UK PSBs alone, a Sky/ITV tie-up would control an estimated 70% of the market, creating significant distance between it and fellow commercial PSB Channel 4. However, when considering the wider video ad market, including Meta, YouTube, Netflix and Amazon, the combined entity would be significantly smaller, with Enders Analysis estimating its market share at 30%.