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Enders Analysis provides a subscription research service covering the media, entertainment, mobile and fixed telecommunications industries in Europe, with a special focus on new technologies and media.

Our research is independent and evidence-based, covering all sides of the market: consumers, leading companies, industry trends, forecasts and public policy & regulation. A complete list of our research can be found here.

 

Rigorous Fearless Independent

The Financial Times

21 January 2011

Following an intervention by the Labour spokesman on media, Ivan Lewis MP (Labour warns Hunt on News Corp), in which he linked the evidence of phone hacking and the erosion of media plurality, the FT concluded that opposition to the News Corp bid for outright control of BSkyB would coalesce around the paramount issue of protecting the public interest.

Commenting on reports of private discussions between News Corp and the Department of Culture, Media and Sport (DCMS), the FT suggested that the former intends to offer concessions, such as the disposal of Sky News, in order to convince the minister, Jeremy Hunt, that it would be unnecessary to follow Ofcom's recommendation and refer the bid to the Competition Commission.

The Financial Times

21 January 2011

In an article which shed light on confidential discussions between the Department of Culture, Media and Sport and News Corp, triggered by its bid to acquire full control of BSkyB, (News Corp raises prospect of selling Sky News), the FT revealed that News Corp is keen to avoid a lengthy investigation by the Competition Commission, in the public interest, and is prepared to make significant concessions, such as the disposal of Sky News.

CPW’s European volume and revenue growth dropped in the December quarter, but this was largely due to the higher mix of prepay in the Christmas period, with underlying trends (strong contract, weak prepay) unchanged

US volume growth surged to 34% as the company continued to roll out standalone stores in malls and shopping centres, and there appears to be plenty of growth to come

Looking forward, the UK business is likely to suffer from the longer handset contracts that have been rolled out by the UK mobile operators over the last two years, but continued strength in the US is likely to more than make up for this

HMV’s poor trading update for the crucial Christmas period was due to the decline in demand for CDs, DVDs and games, and competition from supermarkets and e-tailers, compounded by bad weather

Waterstone’s outperformed HMV as the challenges of high street book retailing are not (yet) as acute as for CDs and DVDs – we consider it possible that HMV will divest the chain

HMV’s strategy for the store network is a key challenge for 2011 – in addition to planned store closures, further closures may be needed to maintain current profitability

By 2015 we expect internet-centric smartphone penetration in the UK to reach 75% and mobile internet use to reach 28% of total time spent online. The dynamics and ecosystems of the mobile internet, and in particular the app model, will become a significant part of overall digital strategies

First seen as an interim reaction to slow networks and small screens, mobile apps have become a major new route to market for publishers and ecommerce providers, and are likely to spread to new areas

However, Apple is likely to continue to lose share in the internet-centric smartphone market, and publishers will face a far messier, fragmented world of competing platforms, app stores and payment systems

Smartphones are rapidly moving to become a majority of UK mobile handset sales, driving a surge in mobile internet use. Even if usage per user (currently growing) flattens out, we forecast mobile internet usage to grow from 1.8bn hours in 2010 to 7bn in 2015: 28% of total online time

This should drive the long promised growth in mobile advertising and we project UK spend, including search and display, will rise to £420 million by 2015, equivalent to 10% of PC internet search/display advertising

We expect the majority of this usage to be incremental to PC-based consumption, as users find new things to do and buy on the mobile web, driving the overall online advertising market to further growth

Iliad’s Freebox V6

22 December 2010

France’s Iliad will rekindle broadband subscriber recruitment with its Freebox V6 (router and TV set-top box), and extension of the triple play to include unmetered fixed-to-mobile calls

Freebox V6 is positioned as an innovative premium quasi-PC device including a 250GB PVR, a Blu-ray player, a game console and a web browser, re-establishing Iliad’s technology leadership

Iliad expects that V6 subscribers will be less profitable in the short term than in the medium term, but cumulative free cash flow guidance for the ADSL business remains unchanged for 2010-12

The Financial Times

20 December 2010

Following Ofcom's decision in the public interest to investigate the adverse effects of a loss of broadcasting plurality, and issue an invitation to comment on News Corporation's bid for British Sky Broadcasting (BSkyB warns watchdog over News Corp bid), the FT reported that the broadcaster's independent directors have warned the regulator of a “perverse outcome” if it found that a deal would seriously curtail diversity for UK viewers. Chris Goodall was asked for his view.

The Financial Times

20 December 2010

Following the announcement by the BBC that it intends to build on the popularity of the iPlayer by launching an international version of the video-on-demand service as an application for the Apple iPad (BBC picks iPad for iPlayer global launch), the FT asked Benedict Evans for his view.