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Enders Analysis provides a subscription research service covering the media, entertainment, mobile and fixed telecommunications industries in Europe, with a special focus on new technologies and media.

Our research is independent and evidence-based, covering all sides of the market: consumers, leading companies, industry trends, forecasts and public policy & regulation. A complete list of our research can be found here.

 

Rigorous Fearless Independent

"The issue with Vice and all similar websites is that they never really worked out a business model for free online journalism," Joseph Teasdale, head of technology at Enders Analysis, told the BBC.

Websites like Vice came along at the same time as the first dotcom boom was in its infancy and technology start-ups were springing up.

"There was a tendency at the time to treat everything like software, where you do your investment up front, attract a bunch of users, and then eventually when you're big enough you become incredibly profitable," he said.

"But it turns out content doesn't work like that - if you want people to keep coming back to your website, or to reach new people in new markets, you have to keep spending to make new content."

And some of Vice's content was "pretty expensive journalism", Mr Teasdale said, involving global trips.

Joseph Teasdale at Enders Analysis says: “The priority has to be rebuilding the advertising side of things.

“Yaccarino has the right CV to patch up relationships with large advertisers who’d rather their media buys didn't come with a side of drama.”

He added “Twitter needs someone to steady the ship and reassure advertisers. That’s much more important than what a few crazies think about Yaccarino’s loyalty to the New World Order.”

“I wouldn’t want to be chief executive under such a regime,” says Teasdale at Enders Analysis. “The risk is you get all of the blame with none of the power.”

He adds: “Musk will still be the owner, and I expect he will be as interventionist and unpredictable as ever.”

Disney is deep into a race to improve direct-to-consumer (DTC) earnings faster than linear TV profitability falls. It will be a close call.

To get through the profit-depressed transition, Disney is doubling down on digital. Bob Iger now appears decided to keep Hulu, and will reduce content spending on long-term IP creation.

In Europe, Disney’s battle plan is one step behind, with significant price increases yet to be tried, cuts to be implemented, and sales to broadcast partners just beginning.

Sky will retain its English Football League (EFL) live coverage until 2029. While the price of the rights is up 50% (20% in real terms), the number of fixtures broadcast will increase fourfold to over 1,000 matches per season.

Sky's current EFL rights are very good value in terms of viewing—this will remain the case in the new rights cycle given the potential for broadcasting many more high profile matches.

With Sky retaining the EFL rights for relatively little more, there could be a similar outcome for the PL auction due later this year. Higher costs could be balanced by more matches, even if the 3pm blackout remains in place.

Recent developments in AI have ignited a frenzy in the tech world and wider society. Though some predictions are closer to sci-fi, this new phase is a real advance.

We view AI as a ‘supercharger’, boosting productivity of workers. The impact is already being felt across media sectors, including advertising and publishing.

Firms thinking about using AI should assess which tasks can be augmented and what data is required. Be prepared for unpredictable outputs and a changing legal and tech landscape.

ITV's total advertising revenue (TAR) in Q1 was down 10% year-on-year, which was marginally better than expected; Q2 is forecast to be down 12%. However, digital advertising has seen strong growth and now makes up 21% of TAR

ITVX is growing as it continues to offer more exclusive content. However, it is too early to tell whether growth is being driven by newer audiences or if it is just viewing that would have taken place on linear anyway

The publication of the draft Media Bill gives some certainty around the direction that the government will pursue in its update of the legal and regulatory framework for broadcasting. However, there remain a number of blanks left for Ofcom to interpret

Disney's fight for the streaming crown causes further problems: With this focus, Disney reaches fewer people through other channels such as TV or cinema, which are important for branding, especially for families, says François Godard, analyst at London-based consulting firm Enders Analysis. "Disney not only needs to make its streaming service profitable, but also draw attention to its iconic content to feed theme parks and merchandising, for example."

Media analyst Claire Enders said news channels rarely made a profit but this was not the objective for owners such as Saudi Arabia.

She said that the state had been watching the media strategy of Qatar — including its acquisition of sports rights — and was in effect using the same playbook.

“Al Jazeera helped normalise Qatar. Saudi has unlimited resources to invest in a similar media strategy to legitimise their position in the world and help them access people. A news channel is part of a wider multibillion-dollar media strategy.”