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James said "Some of them may start to run out of money. They will all have a certain amount of debt funding, and there will be covenants on that debt, which will be the trigger point."

"There is also an issue with consolidation. We are talking about companies that have got significantly less than 300,000 homes passed - some of them less than 50,000. Is it worth doing an acquisition for a company that is just a few weeks build time [for bigger players]? Some of them are just too small to be worth the bother."

James said there may be an element of signalling from the Government that further moves from Altice will be examined very carefully. "This move makes clear if it wasn't beforehand that a full takeover - or full control - would be very difficult."

"It is hard to think of a company the laws surrounding takeovers are more directed to than BT. The company does things it cannot talk about for the Government. It's hugely important for the resilience of telecoms networks. Not only is it the biggest, but it does a lot of the underlying systems and connections. And it also offers security services through Global. It probably registers in three different ways for the Government."

"The timing looks linked to Altice’s takeover restrictions lapsing in June, and this may be more a warning about further control being acquired than an objection to the 18 per cent stake per se,” said James.



“BT is highly sensitive in national security terms — it does work for a government that it is not allowed to talk about, as well as being crucial for network resilience. I would not expect the government to allow a full takeover or control to pass to a foreign investor.”

Karen Egan explains the timing of this probe..."That was December, and we're now almost in June, so it's no surprise we're seeing this now,". She said that the government was attempting to "get ahead of the situation" and send a message to Mr Drahi "not to assume" that a bid would be allowed.



"The new bill is designed to protect assets exactly like BT," she said. "The government is quite sensitive over this, primarily on security grounds. It's very unlikely that they'd be happy with Mr Drahi taking over BT."

On 12 May 2022, Enders Analysis co-hosted the annual Media and Telecoms 2022 & Beyond conference with Deloitte, sponsored by Barclays, Financial Times, Meta, and Deloitte Legal

With up to 500 attendees and over 40 speakers from the TMT sectors, including leading executives, policy leaders, and industry experts, the conference focused on regulation, infrastructure, and how new technologies will impact the future of the sector

These are edited transcripts of Sessions 4-6 covering: European media, sustainability in the TMT sector, and advertising mega-trends. Videos of the presentations are also available on the conference website

On 12 May 2022, Enders Analysis co-hosted the annual Media and Telecoms 2022 & Beyond conference with Deloitte, sponsored by Barclays, Financial Times, Meta, and Deloitte Legal

With up to 500 attendees and over 40 speakers from the TMT sectors, including leading executives, policy leaders, and industry experts, the conference focused on regulation, infrastructure, and how new technologies will impact the future of the sector 

These are edited transcripts of Sessions 9 and 10 covering: the Metaverse, Authority in the Digital Age for publishers and closing remarks. Videos of the presentations are also available on the conference website