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Enders Analysis provides a subscription research service covering the media, entertainment, mobile and fixed telecommunications industries in Europe, with a special focus on new technologies and media.

Our research is independent and evidence-based, covering all sides of the market: consumers, leading companies, industry trends, forecasts and public policy & regulation. A complete list of our research can be found here.

 

Rigorous Fearless Independent

The CMA's decision to block Microsoft’s takeover of Activision reflects the lack of trust regulators have in Microsoft’s leadership and its future plans for game services.

The decision ultimately rewards Sony PlayStation, the market leader, which has little incentive now to transform its high-cost model, but will also stymie PlayStation's own acquisition ambitions.

Getting approval for the acquisition is difficult but not impossible. The European Commission may approve the deal in May. 

 

"The CMA is effectively rewarding PlayStation and Sony who wants to maintain the status quo of expensive console and full price games," said Gareth Sutcliffe, at Enders Analysis. He said Microsoft was being ‘punished for its poor handling of regulator concerns’ and would now need to a new plan to achieve a merger.

Rejection could imperil the position of Phil Spencer, the head of Microsoft’s gaming division who, alongside Smith, was the main driving force behind efforts to get regulatory approval, he said. "It’s hard to see how Spencer could stay if this fails. He was a big part of the problem."

Claire Enders, an analyst who has followed Murdoch’s businesses for decades, described Carlson’s removal as “typical” for the media scion whose unsentimental nature helped inspire the character of Logan Roy in HBO’s Succession.

“It’s a clean-up operation, a typical Murdoch move,” said Enders. “Someone has to carry the can.”

“I think it could be an editorial decision by Fox to tack away from a host that is so pro-Trump,” says Alice Enders at Enders Analysis.

She added “All media organisations in the US are going to have to clean up their act and impose some discipline – they can’t use the First Amendment as a blanket cloak for everything that’s said by their presenters."

The channel is still facing a separate $2.7bn lawsuit from Dominion’s rival Smartmatic as well as a case brought by a shareholder.

“I think it could well be that there is some move to gather the flock, the employees, the hosts and so on together and just say: ‘Look, there are guidelines you’re just going to have to observe.’”