Francois Godard, senior media analyst for Enders Analysis, believes that Sky will hold on to at least three of the five packages, but will be loath to lose one of its weekend slots and so could even try to have the maximum four.
“Sky could reduce costs by cutting down on one weekly slot, but we expect it to fight for four packages, consistent with its history of prioritising the prominence of its Premier League coverage,” said Godard, who added that Sky losing one TV slot out of the four it holds now would be a serious drawback.
“Sky may decide it does not want to take this risk,” he said. “This would be consistent with the company’s history of being ready to enter bidding wars if needed to keep its Premier League standing.”
“Without the Premier League, TNT Sports would likely lose its premium aura and need to cut its retail prices,” said Godard, who also views YouTube as a “long shot” while Apple has ruled itself out.