Alice Enders, the director of research at Enders Analysis, said: “The mega-trend in consumer music spend is not recorded streaming services but the experience of live music, which super-fan clusters especially will pay a lot for. “Oasis have been completely off both the recorded music and live music scenes, and reforming will drive ticket sales as well as streaming of their songs.”
However, the head of television at Enders Analysis, Tom Harrington, thinks the current row is unlikely to damage Strictly’s global appeal. “I don’t think anyone in Belgium or wherever is reading the press here and thinking: ‘I’m less likely to watch the Belgian version.’ It’s very well insulated. Other than maybe the problems that they’ve allegedly had in the UK could be happening somewhere else.” Harrington said that selling formats is estimated to make up about 20% of BBC Studios’ revenues but that the big formats are “very, very high margin … and incredibly lucrative”, which helps to explain Strictly’s importance to the BBC at a time when it is facing cuts because fewer people are paying the licence fee and, the BBC argues, 14 years of funding cuts by Conservative-led governments have reduced its budget by 30% in real terms.
“The decline in the last quarter is not particularly worse than previous periods but the writedown and the future impact of losing NBA games has crystallised the decline in the eyes of the investors, hence the reaction,” explains Tom Harrington, analyst at Enders Analysis. “The core problem Zaslav has which, say, Disney doesn’t, is that the company doesn’t really have truly mass-market content, which is what you need for success in streaming – and you need to have success in streaming to balance the decline in linear.”
“The cost of living crisis is making it harder for customers to afford new handsets – and some customers may not be able to afford the expense of upgrading when they would like to do so,” wrote market watchers at Enders Analysis in a note this week. “While inflation has come down to targeted levels, it will take some time for wages to catch up and for households to feel well off enough to make big purchases again, and so this impact may wane very slowly.”