“The cost of living crisis is making it harder for customers to afford new handsets – and some customers may not be able to afford the expense of upgrading when they would like to do so,” wrote market watchers at Enders Analysis in a note this week. “While inflation has come down to targeted levels, it will take some time for wages to catch up and for households to feel well off enough to make big purchases again, and so this impact may wane very slowly.”
Joseph said the AI search market was “hotting up”. “The risk from AI is . . . that general web search as a whole is made redundant by new ways of matching users with information, products and services,” he said. The “big unknown”, however, is whether it can be reliable enough for mainstream use. “AI is stubbornly prone to confabulation,” Teasdale said. “At the scale of billions of queries per day, serious failures are inevitable.”
One of the key points of contention is the removal of proposals for controls on material that is “legal but harmful”. The wording sparked concerns of an incursion on free speech, but critics say the U-turn amounts to a watering down of the rules. “These original proposals were too far-reaching and did have the potential of incentivising platforms to limit free speech online,” says Niamh Burns at Enders Analysis. “But it could be argued disinformation has slightly fallen through the cracks in the end.”
“Among big tech, Meta is perhaps best placed to realise short-term returns on its AI investments,” comments Jamie MacEwan, Senior Media Analyst at Enders Analysis. “Unlike Google with search, Meta does not have to be concerned about Gen AI replacing its core social networks.” “Meta’s cost control around AI looks better than its rivals, with its capex growth rate coming in at less than half Google or Microsoft’s,” says MacEwan. “Meta doesn’t expect to actually make money from gen AI for years, but ‘Core AI’, where they use the tech to improve ad targeting and content recommendations, is already having an impact,” says MacEwan. “The message to investors is it is better to be early than late, and that this AI infrastructure could be redirected towards core revenue drivers like ranking and recommendations should the demand for pure gen AI products not pan out as hoped.”
Industry experts told Digiday that Google’s policy change might spur more advertisers and agencies to explore such unusual targeting approaches. “I fully expect these experiments to continue,” said Jamie MacEwan, senior media analyst at Enders Analysis. He noted that, although it’s unclear now how many users might choose to enable cookies on their browsers, “the supply of cookie-enabled inventory will tighten.