Since the 2012/13 season, the Premier League’s global revenues have grown nearly fourfold to €2.1 billion, according to Enders Analysis’ Francois Godard. That emphatically exceeds the combined €1.4 billion made by Spanish, German, Italian and French leagues. Most of it comes from broadcast deals.

"In a landscape increasingly shaped by consolidation pressures and the challenges of digital transformation, ProSieben failed to present a credible alternative," said François Godard, analyst at research firm Enders Analysis.

"MFE’s strategy may be challenging to implement, but it marks a step forward," said Godard, adding that developing a unified streaming platform will be crucial to capturing audiences shifting away from linear TV.

Karen Egan, head of telecoms at Enders Analysis, said writedowns in this sector had been “inevitable for some time”. Enders calculates altnets are collectively carrying more than £7bn of net debt. 

“The interest bill [for these companies] . . . is even higher than their revenue bases in many instances,” Egan added. Lloyds, NatWest, ING, ABN Amro and HSBC declined to comment.

"Nicolas de Tavernost wanted to calm the situation. He could finally speak to Maxime Saada again, while communication with Vincent Labrune, the president of the LFP, was strained  ," believes François Godard, an analyst at Enders Analysis. "Talks between the two men could resume without any skeletons in the closet."

How did we end up with such a failure? For François Godard, a sports business specialist, the League should have acknowledged its mistake. "In the Amazon affair, it deeply alienated its long-standing partner, and today, it should have agreed to reach an agreement, even a symbolic one, to purge the past."

Outlining the findings of a specially commissioned report for the PPA by Enders Analysis, Douglas McCabe, Enders’ CEO, presented delegates with a compelling and detailed narrative highlighting the erosion of the website’s centrality, and the multiple challenges media companies face as user choice has grown, and consumer behaviour changes.

In the report, Enders posed the question, ‘Is the website dying?’.

According to a May report by Enders and the Professional Publishers Association, media groups were “losing visibility and value as their content is used but not rewarded”, with about half reporting a search traffic decline over the past year.

Al Overviews were cannibalising website visits, Enders said, with four in five consumers relying on “zero-click search results” in at least 40 per cent of their searches.

Excess capacity and financial pressures have led incumbents to offer MVNOs generous wholesale deals, while the advent of online shopping and e-sims has made it easier for customers to find better deals and then make the switch. E-sims also allow MVNOs to move between different networks without the disruption of mailing customers a new card. Add on cost of living pressures and it is not surprising MVNOs, which tend to be cheaper, added 1.5mn UK customers last year, while traditional operators collectively lost 54,000, according to Enders Analysis.

Enders estimates that MVNOs earn about £10 per user per month, and pay £3 in wholesale charges. That leaves a decent potential profit if they can keep customer acquisition and servicing costs down. For many companies, that is a big if. But fintechs already have customer service infrastructure and millions of loyal users.

Streaming giants have been revising their strategies for some time now. For example, they have sought to limit binge-watching (the ability to watch episodes back-to-back) by offering programs on a rolling basis, "to avoid burning through their investments," observes François Godard, an analyst at Enders.

"We're seeing fewer high-end dramas. The market has calmed down," adds François Godard. "For years, we've seen fierce competition, with billions spent to build a subscriber base. But players are increasingly having to face market pressure to become profitable."

According to Enders Analysis, the seven largest players are expected to spend $116.5 billion in 2025, a figure that is virtually unchanged from 2024, "which, in a period of inflation, corresponds to a decrease," notes François Godard. For comparison, it was $131 billion in 2022.

"Fox couldn't stay away from this market, while cable has declined significantly. But it came cautiously: while SVOD players were fighting with billions to win subscribers, Fox was making money," points out François Godard, an analyst at Enders Analysis. Nearly half of Americans watch content via streaming (47.3% according to Nielsen data in July, including YouTube), far ahead of cable (22%) and traditional television ("broadcast") (18%).

"The logic is probably to be more present in packages than in direct subscription sales. And that's where they can be most successful," says François Godard.

Ligue 1+ will now have to prove that it can last. The former M6 boss is aiming for "1 million subscribers" by the end of the season. The coming weeks will be decisive. "It's now or never. After November, we hardly sell any more subscriptions ," says François Godard, an analyst for Enders Analysis. It's also important to retain viewers who haven't signed up for the year. Content broadcast outside of matches will influence the continuation of subscriptions. "The League should be cautious, because by presenting L1+ as a streaming content channel, it risks disappointing ," warns the analyst. However, he believes that the offer remains "better perceived" than DAZN's last year. "There's a patriotic element. The offer seems more legitimate. This could turn fans away from piracy ," he believes.