Iliad: consolidation, 3G licence and fibre

20 July 2010

Iliad will be challenged to meet its target of a steady EBITDA margin of 36% in 2008 despite further cuts in mobile termination charges due to the continued drift of the subscriber mix to higher cost (for Iliad) full telephony packages. Some benefit to cash flow could result from reduced charges for one-off LLU services to be mandated by regulator ARCEP

Recent reports

Virgin Media O2: Tough start to a tough year

8 May 2024

VMO2 had a tough start to a tough year in Q1, with revenue growth dipping to -4% and EBITDA to -2%, and both fixed subscriber and contract mobile subscriber net adds negative.

Trends are unlikely to improve in the short term, with the fixed side suffering from full fibre overbuild and the mobile side struggling to replace its formerly unique Custom Plan offers.

There are however longer term upsides on fixed in particular, with network and service upgrades bringing sub-brand and wholesaling opportunities, and the company is striving to get the magic back on mobile.

Access report

Telegraph & Spectator: Back on the block

3 May 2024

RedBird IMI will sell its claim to own the Telegraph Media Group (TMG) due to the public interest test it was set to fail, with the Spectator also back on the block

TMG surpassed a declared goal of 1 million subscribers by the end of 2023, motivating our forecast of 4% revenue growth for FY2023 to reach £265 million

The buyer of the Telegraph is likely to face an intervention on public interest grounds from the Secretary of State—a hurdle that could dissuade many bidders

Access report

Life after Facebook: Quo vadis for news distribution

29 April 2024

With traffic from Facebook and X to news publishers’ destinations in decline, distribution is shifting to other platforms where they have more control, such as feeds served on WhatsApp and newsletters on LinkedIn

There is no one silver bullet platform to replace Facebook, on which certain publishers became overly reliant, or X. News publishers are trying out a myriad of platforms to see which work best for the specific audiences and use-cases they are cultivating

WhatsApp and LinkedIn are still platforms that are mediated for news publishers, so risks remain. These platforms have highly differentiated alignment with the needs of enterprises producing journalism

Access report