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Enders Analysis provides a subscription research service covering the media, entertainment, mobile and fixed telecommunications industries in Europe, with a special focus on new technologies and media.

Our research is independent and evidence-based, covering all sides of the market: consumers, leading companies, industry trends, forecasts and public policy & regulation. A complete list of our research can be found here.

 

Rigorous Fearless Independent

Apple’s record December quarter closed off a huge year for the company, with little sign that supply chain problems affected the core iPhone business. Services, meanwhile, remain strong, and the company’s status as the world’s biggest subscription provider positions the business for a metaverse future.

Apple’s ability to control platforms like the App Store is under regulatory pressure. Apple is ceding ground where it can, while keeping fees high for the mobile gaming cash cow.

China has returned as a meaningful contributor to growth. US sanctions have toppled China’s Huawei, to the benefit of the American firm.

Karen Egan, a senior telecoms analyst at Enders Analysis, said that Vodafone’s high debt levels had been a “huge distraction” and that the Liberty Global acquisition has “in no way, shape or form lived up to its promise”.

But Egan said “it’s not at all obvious to me that Vodafone is doing the wrong things” and noted that it has faced regulatory obstacles to consolidation.

Gill said “It is difficult to regain all the audience that the BBC once had, but they will make some inroads into attracting 16 to 34s again, and then the hope is that those viewers might move over to watch something on BBC1 or BBC2.”

Yet surely the young are all on streaming platforms? Gill warns: “There is a common media assumption that all young people are like the university-educated, London young — and it’s not the case. TV is still viewed.” Programmes such as ITV’s I’m a Celebrity . . . Get Me Out of Here! still perform strongly with young audiences.

Alice said this dynamic is undoubtedly at play in the case of Rogan, who signed a $100m (£75m) exclusivity deal with Spotify back in 2020. “He’s their baby and Spotify doesn’t really have a choice between Young or Rogan."

“Like a Netflix model, Spotify commissioned him, gave him a platform, and he therefore drives a lot of usage for the service. The choice is clear.”

She added “To be honest, Joe Rogan himself is the issue here and the use of his podcast as a political platform. I would imagine that Spotify is currently having a serious conversation with him about hijacking the opportunity it has given him.”

Karen said Cevian could call for Vodafone to sell down its stake in the phone masts business Vantage Towers.

Egan also speculated that Cevian could seek improvements in the German cable business. “They massively overpaid for it and there’s a question mark over whether they should replace it with fibre — that will be very expensive."

It has been ten years since Netflix launched in the UK, initially riding the growing wave of internet video, but quickly raising viewer expectations of user experience, overall production quality and long-term availability of content—challenging the rest of the industry to keep up

Netflix’s push into original production transitioned streaming from pure catch-up or repositories of old favourites, to a vibrant entertainment option, driving the formation of an SVOD market and providing other content companies with a larger addressable base now familiar with paying for TV

The streamer has deftly navigated the path from insurgent to joining the same establishment that it radically inverted—through considerate industry participation and self-regulation—however further questions will inevitably be asked about the company’s growing influence upon Britain’s cultural fabric

Alongside freezing the licence fee for the next two years, the government made it clear that it believes the fee is no longer the optimal mechanism to fund the BBC, demonstrating a willingness to remove it in 2028

What seems to be the government's preferred replacement, a subscription, is not ideal: there are structural issues that mean it would not be possible to have a service that all could subscribe to without a costly switchover

Furthermore, a subscription would undermine a number of tenets of public service broadcasting, most notably universality, breadth of programming and representing the diversity of Britain—naturally a subscription service would pivot to commercially efficient content that targets its subscribers and those most likely to subscribe