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Enders Analysis provides a subscription research service covering the media, entertainment, mobile and fixed telecommunications industries in Europe, with a special focus on new technologies and media.

Our research is independent and evidence-based, covering all sides of the market: consumers, leading companies, industry trends, forecasts and public policy & regulation. A complete list of our research can be found here.

 

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Research by Enders Analysis shows that between 2022 and 2023 the average age of Channel 4’s biggest hits was nine years. For ITV, this figure stood at 11.

Tom Harrington, the head of television at Enders Analysis, says: “This is one of those metrics that can be taken both ways. Reliance on older formats seems the antithesis of innovation. But at the same time, surely it’s a good thing if you have a show that commands strong audiences for 10-plus years?”

 

Europe is also expected to have its own M&A reckoning. “The climate calls for consolidation,” says François Godard, senior media and telecom analyst at Enders Analysis. 

But whereas studios such as Warner Bros. Discovery, Sony and Lionsgate are expected to be active in one way or another in the United States, across the pond the production sector is likely ground zero. “These producers in Europe have enjoyed the Golden Age of the past 10 years,” says the Italy-based Godard. “But it’s over.” 

 

"the reality is that Nvidia will dominate the AI accelerator market for the foreseeable future," particularly as "the wave of AI capex" expected from tech firms in 2025 will ensure it remains "the big winner" in the absence of strong competition.

"AMD is a ways behind and none of the hyperscaler chips are going to be matching that kind of volume, which gives Nvidia some breathing room in terms of market share," 

"however, there's another reality Nvidia must reckon with. "The challenge is the sheer weight of investor expectations due to the scale and premium that Nvidia has reached, where anything less than continually flying past every expectation is a disappointment," 

Under financial stress, most streaming platforms are increasingly focusing on third-party distribution. Thanks to bundling, top streamers like Netflix can increase the lifetime value of subscribers, while smaller streamers widen their reach.

Bundles of streamers may have some potential in the US, but in Europe—with Netflix not interested—they do not have the necessary scale.

This trend towards bundling favours incumbent pay-TV aggregators like Sky and Canal+, but in the longer run they face competition from tech video marketplaces.

“Sky was always going to be looking for a stringent and long-term wholesale access arrangement as it will be many years before its agreement with O2 expires, and Sky would like to be able to secure even better terms when it does”, said Karen

“ Our view is that the merger will be good for MVNOs as Three has not really been a serious network of consideration for big MVNO moves, so its loss will not impact them. What does matter in terms of MVNOs getting good wholesale rates is the amount of capacity in the market and that will increase by 30% on the basis of our estimates, putting downward pressure on wholesale rates. ”

“From a monetisation angle, the costs of this content is so high that it wouldn’t be possible for Netflix to just include it in the main offering,” explains Tom Harrington, analyst at Enders Analysis. “That means it would need to create special sports add-on packages which subscribers would have to pay for. This would be a major shift for a business like Netflix.”

Of course, they would say that. But it makes sense to strengthen a well-established sports brand, says Adam Dalrymple, of the media pulse-takers Enders Analysis. Its recent report showed TV sport viewing was relatively robust: while broadcast TV figures had plummeted by 26% since 2015, sports viewing was down just 3%. “Every media company is grappling with the digital transition,” Dalrymple says. “But Match of the Day has a head start because it already has a digital home.”