Facebook now has more than one billion users but future commercial success depends on monetising the growing consumption via mobile devices, which are replacing the PC as the main method of access

Facebook’s new mobile ads are newsfeed based Sponsored Stories and Promoted Posts rather than banners; early agency performance feedback is positive

Rapid growth in mobile ads will not be sufficient to offset slowing growth from PC-based advertising in 2012 and 2013, but revenue growth should pick up in 2014 as mobile ad volumes ramp up and other initiatives kick in

Global Radio’s acquisition of GMG Radio has cemented its dominant position in the commercial radio sector, giving it a 51% share of revenues and a 47% share of listening.

If approved by the Competition Commission, the deal will allow Global to extend the Heart brand to the North of England and Scotland, helping to establish a stable listener base ahead of the digital switchover.

We believe there is scope for further consolidation, which is likely to focus around Planet Rock and Absolute Radio – two groups that are leading the way on digital platforms.

The broadcast and online success of the London Olympics and Paralympics, though never in doubt, was beyond expectations.

Despite the large growth in mobile devices and rise in social media, audience data underlined the importance of live viewing on the TV set in the living room.

Although commercial audiences (other than Channel 4) took a battering, the Olympics/Paralympics was a blip and unlikely to harm budgets across the full year or have significant knock-on consequences in 2013.

Lord Justice Leveson’s report to the Coalition Government is likely to recommend a new independent press regulator set up by an ‘enabling’ statute, in order to better protect individuals from press intrusion and maltreatment.

David Cameron and the Conservatives appear set to reject any use of statute, preferring to see the industry proposal for ‘contractual self-regulation’ implemented.

If a ‘Leveson Act’ is ever to be passed, it will have to be either a joint Liberal Democrat/Labour effort, or one undertaken by another Prime Minister after 2015.

News Corporation’s Fox is to acquire a controlling stake in the Eredivisie Live pay-TV channel, which holds long-term rights to the top football league in The Netherlands.

The guarantees that Fox will give to the league imply that revenues will more than double over the twelve years from 2013-14. Although we see growth potential in the historically underdeveloped Dutch pay-TV market, this looks challenging.

Eredivisie Live operates in a wholesale market, making it very difficult to replicate the Sky platform model. The rationale for the deal appears instead to lie in an effort by Fox to opportunistically strengthen its global portfolio of sports channels.

The average age of the UK population is increasing by about a month every year, with the median pound of consumer expenditure belonging to a household headed by a 47-year-old.

Households headed by someone aged over 50 account for half of consumer spend on media and communication, a data point that is evidently not reflected in the UK’s marketing communications and advertising patterns.

This apparent discrepancy may on the one hand provide a natural ceiling for revenue growth in businesses such as Facebook, and on the other hand provide challenges for brands and agencies that need to engage with audiences less inclined to be influenced by advertising.

BT’s acquisition of Premiership Rugby rights underlines its intentions to create a solid premium sports channel with expected launch in summer 2013

BT’s entry into the sports arena is part of a wider TV platform/content strategy that embraces the launch of a much enlarged basic channel offer, integration with YouView and fibre roll-out

Although expected to post significant losses on its sports channels over the next three years, BT’s commitment appears long term

Spotify’s operating losses doubled to €46.8 million in 2011 on expansion to the US. Still, with cash consumption half of operating losses, Spotify will be around for many years

Spotify has a profitable subscription business, while the losses of the advertising-supported tier could be trimmed to produce breakeven by a more stringent policy on usage

However, with usage uncapped in the US until July 2013 and the launch in Germany in 2012, Spotify’s losses on the freemium tier could well continue to swamp the profits of the subscription side for the near term

Amazon, Nokia and Apple are expected to announce new mobile devices in the next fortnight. We outline the main products and features expected and their implications

In this report we show our analysis of the performance, key trends, competitive dynamics and factors impacting the UK broadband, telephony and pay-TV markets

The first part of the report focusses on market level performance and KPIs such as volume and revenue growth, net adds, pricing and ARPU, and market shares as well as our analysis of key developments in high speed broadband and pay-TV offerings

The second covers the individual results of the four largest ISPs (BT, Virgin Media, BSkyB and TalkTalk Group) in the context of the wider market developments