CityFibre has announced that its long-awaited £1.5 to £2.3 billion financing round is finally agreed, with it now able to use this money to fund its remaining organic build, integrating acquisitions, and covering operating losses until it reaches cashflow breakeven.
This capital raise will not be the first of many across the altnet sector in our view, as CityFibre’s business model is unique, and now partially dependent on the struggles of others to encourage consolidation.
CityFibre now has all the pieces in place to accelerate consolidation of the altnet sector, which will ultimately benefit the whole sector in ending unsustainable retail altnet competition.
Ligue 1 goes direct-to-consumer: Partners needed
9 July 2025After four failed broadcast licence deals over five years, France’s top football league will launch its own subscription service in August.
In the short-term, consumer take up will critically depend on bundling arrangements with third-party platforms.
Longer-term, the league will need to establish lasting partnerships. Outdated competition rules are an obstacle, but the Dutch model is worth considering.
Sky has officially launched on CityFibre’s network, offering up to 5Gbps speeds, which may have more of a halo effect for Sky than driving direct adoption of these very high end packages.
Sky is critical to CityFibre’s wholesale model given its size, and it is a good sign that Sky is proving an enthusiastic wholesale customer, while it is likely to be wary of others.
CityFibre still needs to complete its planned financing round to kick off a wholesale-focused consolidation wave, which would ultimately be beneficial to all incumbents in ending irrational price competition from retail altnets.
Fixing an allocation quirk at BT pushed UK broadband revenue back into growth in Q1, albeit a very modest 0.8%, thanks to continued altnet growth and a very weak underlying market.
Broadband pricing is dipping down overall, but there is not yet evidence of pricing cuts targeted in altnet areas, a massive missed opportunity in our view.
The market will remain under pressure in the short term, but in the longer term altnet pressure will fall under all realistic consolidation scenarios.
Defined roles within the advertising ecosystem are a thing of the past: everyone is adapting by building out functionality to claim share as the constants underpinning advertising—attribution, discoverability, and regulation—change.
There is a new wave of M&A, partnerships and developments from agencies, adtech, and big tech in data and AI, as all sides position themselves to reshape the terms of online advertising at a time of maximum uncertainty.
Big tech platforms are leveraging their scale and AI investments in attempts to reset broad swathes of the market. Publishers are exposed; their way forward relies on asserting their value through direct audiences and collaboration on sector-wide innovations
In a soft market for both consumer and B2B, service revenue trends continue to be dominated by in-contract price increase dynamics.
VodafoneThree’s launch signalled a cautious tone about prospects for mobile growth, presumably allowing for a degree of integration disruption.
VodafoneThree and VMO2 traded 79 MHz of usable spectrum, leaving VodafoneThree in a strong position spectrum-wise, albeit with some challenges given that its merger conditions reduce flexibility in its coverage approach.
Sky Deutschland and RTL: The right match
27 June 2025Comcast is selling Sky Deutschland to RTL Group, for a €150 million cash consideration, but with a performance-dependent variable of up to €377 million
In a fluid but competitive German market, RTL vies for leadership
Having turned Sky Deutschland around, this divestment allows Sky to be much more focused on core regions with more diversified businesses
Altnets in the UK: Consolidation endgame
26 June 2025The largest UK altnets are now all at or close to EBITDA positive, but still heavily cashflow negative even pre-interest costs and with paused builds, due to various below-the-line cash costs requiring continuous funding. EBITDA margins of as much as 35%+ are required to actually be cashflow breakeven.
Altnet economics are still challenging even if debts are fully written off, with a payback of more than 5 years on customer acquisition and connection costs alone.
The consolidation endgame is increasingly imminent, with the outcome likely to be a mix of CityFibre/VMO2 acquisitions, stand-alone niche players continuing, and abandoned assets, with the outcome for the rest of the sector more benign under any scenario than current trends.
Netflix programming: Release and viewing trends
25 June 2025This report tracks Netflix’s original content output, which declined in 2024: docuseries and stand-up comedy were the only genres that grew in volume
We provide an overview of what programming is working, by overlaying Netflix’s ‘mood tag’ and genre metadata onto global and UK viewing
We analyse Netflix’s approach to film and, in particular, the difference in output and success of more and less expensive features
Netflix to carry TF1: Now an aggregator
19 June 2025Netflix’s deal to carry TF1 channels and on-demand content in France indicates that it is now interested in becoming an aggregator—its scale and reach make it attractive but terms will not suit everyone
This reach should be advantageous for TF1, giving the company access to viewers that currently are not regularly exposed to its programming, while also boosting frequency
For FTA operators this deal highlights a possible template to maintain some stability in reach, with less of the uncertainty of content distribution on YouTube
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